Hurricane season still looks to be 'above-average,' NOAA says

The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is well underway, and atmospheric and oceanic conditions remain conducive for an above-average hurricane season, according to the annual mid-season update issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service.

The latest outlook reflects that the number of expected named storms, which have winds of 39mph or greater, is 15 to 21 – up from the initially predicted 13 to 20 named storms.

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That number includes seven to 10 hurricanes, which have winds of 74mph or greater. Three to five of these storms could become major hurricanes, which fall between a Category 3 to 5 with winds 111mph or greater.

This updated outlook includes the five named storms that have formed so far, with Hurricane Elsa becoming the earliest 5th named storm on record.

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