Tropics calm down, 10 days left in hurricane season

With just ten days left in the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season, we are finally seeing conditions calm down. No tropical cyclone activity is expected over the next few days in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico. Moisture left over from what used to be Tropical Storm Sara combined with a cold front continues to bring some rain to parts of Florida. But that unsettled weather should start winding down by tonight. It's been an above normal hurricane season with 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. Let's hope this last 10 days remains super quiet!

Sara downgrades to Tropical Depression

Sara is now a Tropical Depression and still dropping heavy rainfall over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and Central America. Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches are expected over norther Honduras with storm total amounts there as high as 40 inches.

Invest 99L in Caribbean Sea could track North

The tropical wave in the Caribbean Sea has now been labeled as Invest 99L by the National Hurricane Center. This will likely become a named storm by the end of the week. It will bring heavy rain to parts of Central America but could also make a track back to the North.

JD's Hurricane Gear Test: Gerber Dual-Force Multi-tool

In today's hurricane gear test, meteorologist John Dawson is looking at a multi-tool that he says you might want to consider adding to your kit. And he says you don't want to buy the cheapest one you can find.

Tropical Storm Rafael impacts along Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Rafael is showing less organization but still having impacts along the US Gulf Coast. A landfall is not expected but beach hazards will persist though the weekend.

Hurricane Rafael: Track, timing and more

FOX 26 meteorologist Remeisha Shade looks and the path of Hurricane Rafael. Hurricane Rafael remains a powerful Category 2 Hurricane now in the central Gulf of Mexico. It will continue to drift west then turn more to the south early next week. Drier air wrapping into the system and vertical wind shear will force Rafael to get weaker through the weekend. Rafael should weaken to a tropical storm by Saturday evening and a mere remnant low by Monday and Tuesday. Rafael will stay south of Houston. However, minor impacts will be felt this weekend along the coast in the form of a rip currents risk and some wave action. Another disturbance near Hispaniola has a very low 10% chance for tropical development as it drifts west towards the Bahamas. The next name would be Sara and hurricane season runs through November 30th.

Continuing to monitor Hurricane Rafael in the Gulf of Mexico | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update

Hurricane Rafael has pushed into the SE Gulf of Mexico and is expected to drift WNW. As it encounters more hostile winds and drier air, it will gradually weaken back to a tropical storm by Saturday night. It should stay south of Houston over water and meander in the south-central gulf as it weakens through early next week. Models now have Rafael dropping SW into the Bay of Campeche as it falls apart Monday and Tuesday. An increased rip currents risk and elevated tide levels are possible along the coast this weekend. But no major impacts are anticipated. Trough of low pressure around the N. Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and storms. It is being given a LOW 20% chance for tropical development over the next 7 days as it moves towards the Bahamas. If this develops it would be named Sara.

Watching Rafael approaching Gulf of Mexico | FOX 26 Houston Tropical Weather Forecast

The last month of hurricane season is turning out to be an active one. Today, Rafael has strengtened to a Major and powerful Category 3 hurricane as it starts to push over western Cuba. Winds over 100 mph, life-threatening storm surge and flooding are likely. Florida Keys remain under a Tropical storm warning. Rafael will track into the eastern Gulf of Mexico Thursday and Friday. It will likely get weaker, slow down and encounter hostile winds and drier air as it pushes into the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Also, a cold front will roll across the Houston area late Friday into Saturday, helping to keep Rafael to our east. Some models have it staying offshore, south of Louisiana and other models have it making landfall as a weaker system. However, impacts to Houston should be minimal from Rafael. Another disturbance in the Southwest Atlantic has a low shot for tropical development as it moves towards the Bahamas over the next week. Next name on the list is Sara.

Tropical Storm Rafael expected to strengthen on way to Gulf

We are closely monitoring a late season tropical storm, Rafael, in the Caribbean. Rafael is expected to become a hurricane tonight or Wednesday as it moves over Cuba. Rafael is then expected to track into the eastern Gulf of Mexico Thursday and Friday. Rafael will most likely weaken, slow down and stay east of the Houston area. In fact, latest National Hurricane Center track has Rafael making landfall by lunchtime Sunday as a tropical storm around the eastern Louisiana Gulf coast. Another disturbance in the SW Atlantic has a LOW 30% chance for tropical development as it moves towards the N. Leeward Islands. Hurricane season runs all the way through November 30.

Watching several areas in the tropics | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Tropics remain busy in this final month of hurricane season with three areas being monitored. The first, Tropical Depression 18, has formed into Tropical Storm Rafael in the west-central Caribbean. It should strengthen to a hurricane by Wednesday. Jamaica is under a tropical storm warning and a hurricane warning has been issued for the Cayman Islands. Models show this system tracking into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday and Thursday. Models are uncertain as to where "Rafael" will head as it nears the northern Gulf coast late this week. But it does appear that it will weaken some as it encounters more shear & will most likely stay just east of the Houston area. Another disturbance near the Leeward Islands in the SW Atlantic has a low chance to become a tropical system over the next week. Finally, Patty has weakened and become post-tropical in the north Atlantic. The remnants of Patty could still bring some heavy rain to Portugal & Western Spain. Keep checking back for additional updates.