Watching area for possible development in Caribbean | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

There are currently no named storms across the Atlantic Basin. However, tropical development is still possible as we approach the last month of hurricane season. A disturbance is being monitored in the SW Caribbean. Chance for a tropical system to form in the next 48 hours is 0%. But there's a MEDIUM 40% chance a tropical system could develop in the Caribbean over the next seven days. It will likely track from the SW to the central Caribbean and would be named Patty if it becomes a tropical storm. It is not expected to head towards Texas but could bring heavy rain and a flood threat to Hispianiola, Jamaica and possibly Florida. Hurricane season runs through November 30.

Watching for possible development in the Caribbean | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update

We are a few days away from the final month of the 2024 hurricane season. Chances of a hurricane hitting Houston this late in the season are extremely low. However, there's still a chance for tropical development this week in the Caribbean. Models are giving a disturbance in the SW Caribbean a Medium 40% chance of tropical development over the next 7 days. So we could have tropical storm or hurricane Patty by this weekend in the central Caribbean. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains super quiet for now and hurricane season runs through November 30th.

Tropical weather update: Kristy no longer tropical system; watching the Atlantic

Kristy is no longer a tropical system in the Eastern Pacific. In the Atlantic, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. This will probably become the next named storm and drift northward or northeastward over the southwestern and south-central Caribbean Sea.

Kristy weakens in Eastern Pacific, Atlantic quiet

Kristy has started to weaken in the Eastern Pacific. This persistent system mostly likely will not make it through the weekend. The Atlantic basin is quiet for now but something developing in the Caribbean should still be watched for next week.

Continuing to track Kristy, possible Caribbean development

In the Eastern Pacific, we are still tracking Hurricane Kristy. The good news is that Kristy is moving WNW away from the United States and Mexico and should remain over water. Also, Kristy is expected to run into more wind shear and this will allow Kristy to become a post-tropical system by Sunday. In the Atlantic basin, no tropical systems are expected to form through the weekend. However, models are indicating a tropical system could form in the SW Caribbean by the middle of next week where water temperatures are still super warm. This likely would NOT head to Texas but could bring some heavy rain and flood potential to some of the Caribbean Islands and Florida. Hurricane season runs through November 30.

Watching Kristy, possible development in Caribbean

The Atlantic basin remains quiet for now with no tropical cyclones expected to form over the next few days. However, models are indicating that there could be some tropical development in the western or Central Caribbean mid-late next week. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Kristy is still a powerful Major hurricane tracking away from Mexico and the U.S. Kristy should run into more wind shear, cooler & drier air by this weekend & early next week. This will cause the system to lose tropical characteristics and weaken.

Possible development coming in western Caribbean? | FOX 26 Houston Tropical Weather Forecast

Oscar is no longer a tropical system but is still bringing some heavy rain to Bermuda. Remnants of Oscar should push north of Bermuda Thursday and no additional tropical systems are expected in the Atlantic basin over the next 7 days. However, models are hinting that there could be some potential development in the western Caribbean about 10 days out. That would be around early November, so keep checking back for updates! Kristy has blown up to a small but powerful major hurricane in the eastern Pacific but is moving away from land.

Watching Kristy, Oscar | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

It was a busy weekend in the tropics with Tropical Storm Nadine popping up in the NW Caribbean & quickly making landfall in Belize. The remnants of Nadine pushed into the eastern Pacific reorganizing into what is now Tropical Storm Kristy. Kristy is forecast to become a Category 2 hurricane later this week but will be moving west away from Mexico and the U.S. Oscar also formed in the Atlantic and quickly grew to a hurricane hitting parts of Cuba. Oscar has weakened to a tropical storm today over eastern Cuba and is expected to make a turn N then NE taking it towards the SE Bahamas. It will then move NE away from the U.S. the next few days before being absorbed by a non-tropical low later this week. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.

Tracking Hurricane Oscar, Tropical Storm Nadine

FOX 26 meteorologist John Dawson gives an update on Tropical Storm Nadine, which is bringing flooding to the Western Caribbean, and Hurricane Oscar which is impacting Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas before heading to Cuba.

Continuing to monitor 2 disturbances in Atlantic Basin | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update

We are still monitoring two disturbances in the Atlantic basin. Invest 95-L in the western Caribbean is now Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 with a HIGH 70% chance to become a brief tropical depression or tropical storm Nadine. PTC 15 is already very close to land & should move inland over Belize in Central America and Southern Mexico this weekend. Invest 94-L is just north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands with just a Low 20% shot to become a tropical system over the next 2-7 days. By early next week, upper level winds will become unfavorable for tropical development. This disturbance will likely dissipate at that time. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.

Continuing to monitor two potential systems | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Two areas are still being monitored for tropical development. One is in the west-central Atlantic and the other is in the western Caribbean near Central America. Invest 94-L in the Atlantic is a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands with a Low 30% chance of development into a tropical system. It could reach Puerto Rico and Hispaniola this weekend as a tropical depression or storm. But strong upper-level winds should end development chances by late in the weekend. Broad area of low pressure in the western Caribbean also has a low 30% chance to develop into a tropical system. The window is brief since it is expected to make landfall in Central America and Southern Mexico this weekend.

Monitoring areas of development in Atlantic | FOX 26 Houston Tropical Weather Forecast

There are still two areas of concern we are closely monitoring in the Atlantic basin. The first, Invest 94-L, has a MEDIUM 50% chance for development into our next tropical system which would be Nadine. It could reach the Lesser Antilles by this weekend as it moves west. Another broad area of low pressure is being monitored in the western Caribbean near Central America. If this disturbance remains over water, there's a low 20% chance it could strengten to a tropical depression or tropical storm. However, landfall would most likely be around Mexico and Central America. Download FOX Local app on your phone or smart tv for daily detailed tropical updates and more!

Monitoring two systems in the Atlantic | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update

The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two systems for possible tropical cyclone development. One tropical wave, Invest 94-L, is in the central Atlantic now with a medium 60% chance for development into a tropical system. A tropical depression could form towards the end of the week as the disturbance approaches the Leeward Islands. A new area in the western Caribbean is now being monitored for possible tropical development. There's a low 20% chance that an area of low pressure could form late week near the Yucatan Peninsula. This will likely track into Mexico or Central America but we will watch it closely. Get daily updates on our FREE FOX Local app on your phone or smart TV!

Invest 94L gains strength | Tropical update

Overall the Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet but Invest 94L does not want to give up. The National Hurricane Center now gives this low pressure system a 40% chance of development into a tropical cyclone in 3-7 days from now.

Post-tropical cyclone Milton moves from Florida

Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton is now moving away from Florida into the Atlantic. It has lost tropical characteristics but still has strong winds. It caused over 3 million power outages across Florida, produced a big tornado outbreak in central & south Florida and dumped more than a foot of rain! There's still the threat for some storm surge and gusty winds through early evening for parts of the SE U.S. coast. But overall, conditions will be improving for Florida tonight. Tropical Storm Leslie in the Central Atlantic is still expected to track NE away from the United States and gradually weaken. Invest 94-L in the far east Atlantic has a low 20% chance to become our next tropical system. The next name would be Nadine

Hurricane Milton's landfall imminent in Florida | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Hurricane Milton is a bit weaker but remains a dangerous Category 3 system with an earlier landfall expected between 8-10 pm tonight just south of Tampa Bay. Widespread damaging winds 100+ mph, 6-12" of rain, and dangerous storm surge up to 12' is likely around Tampa Bay, Clearwater, Sarasota & Bradenton. Milton will push across the Central Florida Peninsula early Thursday morning and should still be a Category 1 hurricane as it rolls over Orlando. Milton should push out into the western Atlantic and gradually weaken by Thursday afternoon and evening . Invest 93-L in the SW Atlantic has a Low 30% chance of tropical development as it moves NE. Tropical wave is expected to roll off the west coast of Africa over the next day or two with a very low 10% chance to turn into a tropical system. Hurricane Leslie is still churning in the central Atlantic but will soon turn NE away from the U.S.

Tracking Milton and Leslie | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Milton is expected to remain a Major hurricane and expand in size as it approaches the Florida Gulf Coast Wednesday evening. If you have family or friends that live in an evacuation zone, make sure they are following orders and leaving in a timely manner! Landfall should be Wednesday night into early Thursday as a strong Category 3 or possibly a Category 4. Many areas along Florida's Gulf coast are under hurricane warnings including Tampa, St. Petersburg and Sarasota. Orlando, Florida will also feel hurricane impacts as Milton is still expected to be a Category 2 as it moves over Orlando Thursday morning. Tampa could get storm surge up to 15 feet with 5-12" of rain and damaging hurricane force winds. Life-threatening surf & rip currents are likely. Milton should exit Florida and start to weaken as it pushes into the western Atlantic Thursday afternoon and evening. A non-tropical low in the SW Atlantic near the Bahamas & a tropical wave in the far east Atlantic have a low 20% chance for tropical development over the next 7 days. Hurricane Leslie in the Central Atlantic is expected to turn NE away from the U.S. by late week.