Watching several areas in the tropics | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast
Tropics remain busy in this final month of hurricane season with three areas being monitored. The first, Tropical Depression 18, has formed into Tropical Storm Rafael in the west-central Caribbean. It should strengthen to a hurricane by Wednesday. Jamaica is under a tropical storm warning and a hurricane warning has been issued for the Cayman Islands. Models show this system tracking into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday and Thursday. Models are uncertain as to where "Rafael" will head as it nears the northern Gulf coast late this week. But it does appear that it will weaken some as it encounters more shear & will most likely stay just east of the Houston area. Another disturbance near the Leeward Islands in the SW Atlantic has a low chance to become a tropical system over the next week. Finally, Patty has weakened and become post-tropical in the north Atlantic. The remnants of Patty could still bring some heavy rain to Portugal & Western Spain. Keep checking back for additional updates.
Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 forms in Caribbean, headed toward Gulf
Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen has formed in the Caribbean Sea and is headed towards the Gulf of Mexico. This system will soon been named Raphael and could reach hurricane strength before making landfall in Cuba.
Subtropical Storm Patty in the Atlantic
Patty has formed in the Atlantic but it's not what you were expecting. The Southwestern Caribbean is still brewing with a broad area of low pressure. The National Hurricane Center has labeled it as Invest 97L but no name yet.
Watching Atlantic for three possible developments
Three areas are currently being monitored in the Atlantic basin for possible tropical cyclone development. The first in the North Atlantic, Invest 96-L, is a low that has a MEDIUM 40% chance for tropical or subtropical development over the next few days as it nears the Azores. Two other disturbances are being monitored, one in the SW Caribbean and one in the NE Caribbean. SW Caribbean system now has a HIGH 70% chance to become a tropical depression or storm in the next week. The next few names on the list would be Patty and Rafael. It's forecast to track into the central Caribbean and could even make it to the southern Gulf next week. In the NE Caribbean, a trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico has a LOW 10% chance for tropical development as it drifts WNW. Neither of these systems is expected to make it to Texas.
Watching the Caribbean, Atlantic for possible development | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update
FOX 26 Meteorologist Remeisha Shade has the latest on what's happening in the tropics.
Continuing to monitor for development in the Caribbean | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast
FOX 26 Meteorologist Remeisha Shade has the latest on what's happening in the tropics.
Watching area for possible development in Caribbean | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast
There are currently no named storms across the Atlantic Basin. However, tropical development is still possible as we approach the last month of hurricane season. A disturbance is being monitored in the SW Caribbean. Chance for a tropical system to form in the next 48 hours is 0%. But there's a MEDIUM 40% chance a tropical system could develop in the Caribbean over the next seven days. It will likely track from the SW to the central Caribbean and would be named Patty if it becomes a tropical storm. It is not expected to head towards Texas but could bring heavy rain and a flood threat to Hispianiola, Jamaica and possibly Florida. Hurricane season runs through November 30.
Watching for possible development in the Caribbean | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update
We are a few days away from the final month of the 2024 hurricane season. Chances of a hurricane hitting Houston this late in the season are extremely low. However, there's still a chance for tropical development this week in the Caribbean. Models are giving a disturbance in the SW Caribbean a Medium 40% chance of tropical development over the next 7 days. So we could have tropical storm or hurricane Patty by this weekend in the central Caribbean. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains super quiet for now and hurricane season runs through November 30th.
Tropical weather update: Kristy no longer tropical system; watching the Atlantic
Kristy is no longer a tropical system in the Eastern Pacific. In the Atlantic, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. This will probably become the next named storm and drift northward or northeastward over the southwestern and south-central Caribbean Sea.
Kristy weakens in Eastern Pacific, Atlantic quiet
Kristy has started to weaken in the Eastern Pacific. This persistent system mostly likely will not make it through the weekend. The Atlantic basin is quiet for now but something developing in the Caribbean should still be watched for next week.
Continuing to track Kristy, possible Caribbean development
In the Eastern Pacific, we are still tracking Hurricane Kristy. The good news is that Kristy is moving WNW away from the United States and Mexico and should remain over water. Also, Kristy is expected to run into more wind shear and this will allow Kristy to become a post-tropical system by Sunday. In the Atlantic basin, no tropical systems are expected to form through the weekend. However, models are indicating a tropical system could form in the SW Caribbean by the middle of next week where water temperatures are still super warm. This likely would NOT head to Texas but could bring some heavy rain and flood potential to some of the Caribbean Islands and Florida. Hurricane season runs through November 30.
Watching Kristy, possible development in Caribbean
The Atlantic basin remains quiet for now with no tropical cyclones expected to form over the next few days. However, models are indicating that there could be some tropical development in the western or Central Caribbean mid-late next week. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Kristy is still a powerful Major hurricane tracking away from Mexico and the U.S. Kristy should run into more wind shear, cooler & drier air by this weekend & early next week. This will cause the system to lose tropical characteristics and weaken.
Possible development coming in western Caribbean? | FOX 26 Houston Tropical Weather Forecast
Oscar is no longer a tropical system but is still bringing some heavy rain to Bermuda. Remnants of Oscar should push north of Bermuda Thursday and no additional tropical systems are expected in the Atlantic basin over the next 7 days. However, models are hinting that there could be some potential development in the western Caribbean about 10 days out. That would be around early November, so keep checking back for updates! Kristy has blown up to a small but powerful major hurricane in the eastern Pacific but is moving away from land.
Watching Kristy, Oscar | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast
It was a busy weekend in the tropics with Tropical Storm Nadine popping up in the NW Caribbean & quickly making landfall in Belize. The remnants of Nadine pushed into the eastern Pacific reorganizing into what is now Tropical Storm Kristy. Kristy is forecast to become a Category 2 hurricane later this week but will be moving west away from Mexico and the U.S. Oscar also formed in the Atlantic and quickly grew to a hurricane hitting parts of Cuba. Oscar has weakened to a tropical storm today over eastern Cuba and is expected to make a turn N then NE taking it towards the SE Bahamas. It will then move NE away from the U.S. the next few days before being absorbed by a non-tropical low later this week. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.
Tracking Hurricane Oscar | Tropical Weather Forecast
Hurricane Oscar is heading toward Cuba. FOX 26 meteorologist John Dawson takes a look at the storm's track and what is left of what was once Tropical Storm Nadine.
Tracking Hurricane Oscar, Tropical Storm Nadine
FOX 26 meteorologist John Dawson gives an update on Tropical Storm Nadine, which is bringing flooding to the Western Caribbean, and Hurricane Oscar which is impacting Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas before heading to Cuba.
Continuing to monitor 2 disturbances in Atlantic Basin | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update
We are still monitoring two disturbances in the Atlantic basin. Invest 95-L in the western Caribbean is now Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 with a HIGH 70% chance to become a brief tropical depression or tropical storm Nadine. PTC 15 is already very close to land & should move inland over Belize in Central America and Southern Mexico this weekend. Invest 94-L is just north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands with just a Low 20% shot to become a tropical system over the next 2-7 days. By early next week, upper level winds will become unfavorable for tropical development. This disturbance will likely dissipate at that time. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.
Continuing to monitor two potential systems | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast
Two areas are still being monitored for tropical development. One is in the west-central Atlantic and the other is in the western Caribbean near Central America. Invest 94-L in the Atlantic is a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands with a Low 30% chance of development into a tropical system. It could reach Puerto Rico and Hispaniola this weekend as a tropical depression or storm. But strong upper-level winds should end development chances by late in the weekend. Broad area of low pressure in the western Caribbean also has a low 30% chance to develop into a tropical system. The window is brief since it is expected to make landfall in Central America and Southern Mexico this weekend.
Watching two possible storm areas | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update
FOX 26 Meteorologist Remeisha Shade has the latest on the tropics.
Monitoring areas of development in Atlantic | FOX 26 Houston Tropical Weather Forecast
There are still two areas of concern we are closely monitoring in the Atlantic basin. The first, Invest 94-L, has a MEDIUM 50% chance for development into our next tropical system which would be Nadine. It could reach the Lesser Antilles by this weekend as it moves west. Another broad area of low pressure is being monitored in the western Caribbean near Central America. If this disturbance remains over water, there's a low 20% chance it could strengten to a tropical depression or tropical storm. However, landfall would most likely be around Mexico and Central America. Download FOX Local app on your phone or smart tv for daily detailed tropical updates and more!