Tropical Weather Forecast - July 9, 2023

Things are still quiet in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean. But there's one area in the Central Atlantic being monitored for possible development. There's a 30% chance of a tropical or subtropical cyclone developing NE of Bermuda over the next 7 days. Eastern Pacific is still fairly active with a system south of the southern Mexican coast with a high chance of development over the next 7 days. Another system offshore of SW Mexico has a medium chance for development over the next few days. But it is moving away from the US and Mexico.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 8, 2023

The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and Atlantic are still very quiet with no tropical cyclone activity expected over the next 7 days. Saharan dust continues to hinder development even though water temperatures are extremely warm. We are expecting things to get more active over the next month or two so stay alert! In the eastern Pacific, two systems have a high chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm. One could become a named storm tonight or tomorrow while the other will likely take a little longer. Calvin and Dora are the next two names on the list for eastern Pacific storms.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 7, 2023

All is quiet in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and Atlantic with Saharan dust helping to hinder tropical cyclone development for now. But water temperatures are very warm and that could aid in development over the next few weeks. There are two areas of low pressure in the eastern Pacific that have a high chance for development over the next week. But they are moving away from Mexico and the US for now.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 6, 2023

The big news today is that the official Colorado State University hurricane season outlook was updated for a second time since April. Forecasters are now calling for 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes due to the unusually warm waters of the tropical Atlantic 4-6 degrees above normal. At this point, the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico & Caribbean are quiet with no tropical cyclone formation expected for the next 7 days. But things are expected to get a lot more active in August and September which is usually the most active period of hurricane season. The eastern pacific is more active with two broad areas of low pressure off the S/SW Mexican coast. They both have a shot to become a tropical depression or storm over the next 7 days.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 5, 2023

Saharan dust continues to mix in some drier air in the atmosphere hindering tropical development in the Atlantic. Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean remain quiet as well with no tropical cyclone formation expected over the next 7 days. There are a few disturbances to monitor in the eastern Pacific though. Once has a high chance to become a tropical depression south of the SW Mexican coast over the next week.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 4, 2023

All is quiet in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean & Atlantic with no tropical cyclone formation expected over the next 7 days. However, there's a 60 % chance for a tropical depression to develop in the eastern Pacific over the next 7 days. The area of concern is off of the SW Mexican coast. The most active part of hurricane season has not arrived. It's usually in August and September. So stay alert and review your hurricane plan with your family while things are quiet.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 2, 2023

As we move into July there are some new areas to watch for tropical development. The warm Atlantic waters remain quiet for now. Do you remember the next name on the list for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic?

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 30, 2023

Most of the action remains in the Eastern Pacific with not one but two hurricanes. There's hurricane Beatriz which is now a Category 1 off of the SW coast of Mexico where some hurricane warnings are in effect. Beatriz will creep closer to Cabo San Lucas early next week but should be weaker by then. Hurricane Adrian is a strong Category 2 in the E. Pacific but is expected to stay over the water as it moves NW away from Mexico. In the SW Atlantic a weak area of low pressure has a tiny chance to develop into a tropical system as it gets closer to Bermuda.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 29, 2023

There's a disturbance in the SW Atlantic that has a very low chance for tropical cyclone development over the next 2-7 days as it gets closer to Bermuda. In the eastern Pacific, it's very active with newly formed Tropical Storm Beatriz near SW Mexico & Hurricane Adrian. The Gulf of Mexico & Caribbean remain quiet for now.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 28, 2023

Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea are quiet with no tropical cyclones expected to form over the next few days. Area of disturbed weather in SW Atlantic is being monitored for tropical development. There's only a 10-20% chance over the next 2-7 days. Adrian has become a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific but is not a threat to Mexico or the United States as it is moving west.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 27, 2023

Things remain fairly quiet in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean with no tropical activity expected over the next few days. The remnants of what was Tropical Storm Cindy are still churning in the western Atlantic about 400 miles south of Bermuda. There's a 10% chance of redevelopment into a tropical cyclone over the next few days and a 20% chance over the next 7 days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Adrian becomes the first tropical storm of the Eastern Pacific season.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 26, 2023

We got rid of Tropical Storm Bret over the weekend as it fell apart in the central Caribbean. Cindy also weakened over the weekend and is no longer a tropical cyclone. Cindy encountered a lot of wind shear but redevelopment is possible over the next 7 days. The National Hurricane Center gives Cindy a 30% chance to regain tropical depression or tropical storm status as it moves closer to Bermuda.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 25, 2023

Tropical Storm Cindy is still out there churning in the open Atlantic, but not for much longer. There is nothing else being monitored in the tropical Atlantic at this time, which is what we like to see!

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 24, 2023

Bret is no longer a tropical storm and has become post-tropical in the central Caribbean. The last advisory has been issued. Tropical Storm Cindy is still going strong in the central Atlantic racing NW. However, gradual weakening is forecast as Cindy moves closer to Bermuda next week.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 23, 2023

It's unusual to have two tropical storms in the month of June but we have Tropical Storm Bret & Tropical Storm Cindy. Bret moved over the Lesser Antilles and is expected to fall apart as it moves into the central Caribbean Sunday. Cindy should stay north of the Lesser Antilles and gradually weaken to a Tropical Depression as it moves into the SW Atlantic early next week.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 22, 2023

Tropical Storm Bret is very close to Barbados with 65 mph winds and Tropical Storm Warnings are out for parts of the Lesser Antilles. Bret is expected to push into the western and central Caribbean Friday and Saturday. It is forecast to weaken and fall apart by Sunday. Tropical Depression Four formed in the central Atlantic with 35 mph winds and could become Tropical Storm Cindy by tonight or Friday. Another tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic could possible develop over the next several days.

Tropical Weather Forecast - June 21, 2023

Tropical Storm Bret is still moving west in the Atlantic towards the Lesser Antilles but has gotten stronger with 65 mph winds. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for St. Lucia & Martinique with Tropical Storm Watches in place for Barbados & Dominica in the eastern Caribbean. Bret is expected to weaken before getting close to Houston. A few other tropical waves are being monitored for development in the Atlantic.