Tropical Weather Forecast - August 24, 2023

We are about a week away from the month of September which is the typical peak of hurricane season. As expected, the tropics are heating up with several systems I'm monitoring. There's an area of low pressure over Central America that could track into the NW Caribbean and eventually the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Tropical Storm Franklin is east of the Turks and Caicos Islands and will develop into a hurricane as it gets close to Bermuda early next week. Two additional tropical waves in the eastern & central Atlantic will need to be watched as they both have a medium chance for development.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 22, 2023

Harold has weakened to a Tropical Depression with 35 mph winds near Laredo. But Harold was a Tropical Storm this morning when it made landfall around Padre Island with 50 mph winds near 10 AM. Harold brought 3-6" of rain for parts of south Texas with isolated higher amounts and will push into SW Texas and northern Mexico tonight and early Wednesday with a continued flood threat. Spotty downpours are possible for the Houston area through early tonight with just isolated rain possible for the rest of the week. Another Tropical Storm, Franklin, is south of Haiti & the Dominican Republic where tropical storm warnings are in effect. A few additional tropical waves are being monitored in the central and eastern part of the Atlantic.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 21, 2023

The tropics have blown up over the last week with several systems we are watching, including a newly formed tropical depression in the Gulf. Tropical Depression #9 is expected to reach the south Texas Gulf coast by Tuesday morning as a tropical storm with 45 mph winds. It should make landfall between Corpus Christi and Brownsville, crossing over Laredo by Tuesday afternoon. The heaviest rain and flood threat should stay south of Houston along with the strongest winds. However, coastal Jackson and Matagorda counties are under a tropical storm watch where winds could gust over 40 mph there and some heavier rain will likely fall. Houston will have more clouds and about a 40% chance for scattered showers and storms. Tropical Storm Franklin will bring heavy rain to Haiti and the Dominican Republic. We are also still tracking Tropical Storm Gert, Post-Tropical Storm Emily and another tropical wave in the Atlantic. The busiest part of hurricane season is here so stay alert

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 19, 2023

Hilary is about to soak the Southwestern US. Flooding is expected for parts of California, Arizona, Nevada, and Utah. All of Texas is watching for a tropical wave to enter the Gulf of Mexico, hoping for rain and cooler temps to arrive to the Lone Star State.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 18, 2023

There is a lot to discuss in the tropics! Hilary is all the talk for this weekend but the Atlantic Basin is going off. NHC now watching 4 areas for development of tropical cyclones.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 16, 2023

The Atlantic is starting to wake up, with several areas being monitored for development including one in the Gulf. The Pacific is also fairly active, with 3 named systems and one additional area that could develop.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 11, 2023

An above normal remainder of the hurricane season is forecast for the Atlantic basin even though things remain quiet for now. Saharan dust is expected to decrease over the next few weeks and water temperatures are super warm. So this could mean an increase in tropical activity late August and especially September. So stay alert! Elsewhere in the eastern Pacific, three systems are being monitored for potential tropical cyclone development over the next week. Two of these systems have a high chance to form into a tropical depression or storm. Hurricane Dora is far SW of Hawaii and will cross into the western Pacific soon switching to a "typhoon".

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 10, 2023

Saharan Dust continues to impact much of the Atlantic hindering tropical cyclone development for now. Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean are also quiet. But the rest of the hurricane season is still expected to get active with NOAA now predicting 14-21 named storms, 6-11 hurricanes, and 2-5 major hurricanes. Hurricane Dora is still fairly strong now SW of Hawaii with 3 other tropical waves that could develop in the eastern Pacific. Stay alert as things could get active quickly over the next month in the tropics.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 9, 2023

All is quiet in the Tropical Atlantic with no tropical cyclones expected to form over the next few days. Three areas are being monitored for possible development in the eastern Pacific. Hurricane Dora is still going strong, now SW of Hawaii. But the pressure change between Dora south of Hawaii and high-pressure north of Hawaii contributed to strong winds that helped fuel massive wildfires on the Hawaiian Island of Maui today.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 8, 2023

Things are still quiet across the Atlantic Basin with no tropical cyclones expected to develop over the next few days. Dora remains a powerful hurricane in the central Pacific well south of Hawaii but is expected to remain over water. Saharan dust is still present across much of the Atlantic limiting tropical development. But as this dust goes away over the coming weeks, very warm water temperatures could mean an uptick in tropical activity...stay tuned.