Tropical Weather- September 22, 2023
Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 has turned into Tropical Storm Ophelia just south of the North Carolina coast. It is already close to hurricane strength with 70 mph winds and could briefly become a hurricane before making landfall early Saturday morning along the North Carolina coast. Tropical storm force winds, storm surge and the threat for coastal flooding will be the main threats. Ophelia should quickly weaken to a tropical depression by Sunday. Nigel is in the north Atlantic and has lost tropical characteristics. Another strong tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of becoming Tropical Storm Philippe this weekend.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 21, 2023
Folks along the SE U.S. coast now have a potential tropical storm to worry about. Potential tropical cyclone 16 has formed off of the SE US coast and is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday. Tropical Storm Warnings are out for parts of the Carolina and Mid-Atlantic coasts. Storm surge warnings are also in effect with this system expected to hit the Carolina coast late Friday into Saturday. Flooding, strong winds and storm surge are the main threats. Hurricane Nigel is racing away from the US & should lose tropical characteristics by Friday. A strong tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance to become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm by this weekend.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 20, 2023
Hurricane Nigel is a bit weaker but is still a category one hurricane now to the NE of Bermuda. It is expected to quickly move farther away from the US losing tropical characteristics by this weekend. Two other areas are being monitored for possible tropical development. One area is off of the east coast of Florida and has a 40% chance for development over the next 7 days. A potential tropical or subtropical area of low pressure is expected to develop that could bring some heavy rain and strong winds to parts of the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic by this weekend. Another tropical wave has pushed off the west coast of Africa with a high chance to become a tropical depression or storm by this weekend. The next two names on the list are Ophelia and Philippe.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 19, 2023
We remain in what is typically a very active period of hurricane season. There are no tropical systems heading towards SE Texas. But Hurricane Nigel has grown to a Category 2 Hurricane east of Bermuda. Nigel is not a threat to the US as it will race NE later this week and track up close to Iceland by early next week! A non-tropical low could form along the east coast of Florida the next few days. This low could become subtropical. Regardless it will bring the threat for some heavy rain & gusty wind to Florida & the Carolinas. Another Tropical wave coming off the west coast of Africa has a high chance to develop into a tropical storm or hurricane. The next name on the list is Ophelia.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 18, 2023
Lee and Margot have become Post-Tropical and are weakening. But hurricane Nigel is getting stronger and is forecast to be near major hurricane strength Tuesday. Nigel should pass well east of Bermuda late Tuesday & race NE away from the US & Canada after that. Possible non-tropical low may form near SE US coast later this week with a low chance for subtropical development. Another Tropical wave is expected to roll off the western African coast Wednesday and this system has a high chance to turn into tropical storm Ophelia late this week.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 17, 2023
No surprises in the tropics right now. The National Hurricane Center is done with Lee and Margot but Nigel continues to organize and grow.
Tropical Weather Forecast- September 16, 2023
Lee has become Post-Tropical but that doesn't mean it can't pound the far northeast of the United States along with Atlantic Canada. Tropical Depression continues to get better organized and should become the next named storm tomorrow.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 15, 2023
We are still around the peak of hurricane season and the tropics remain pretty busy with Hurricane Lee, Tropical Storm Margot, and newly formed Tropical Depression #15. Tropical storm warnings are out for parts of the New England coast and Atlantic Canada as Lee moves closer. Lee will bring the threat for strong winds, dangerous surf, and coastal flooding to these areas over the next 24-36 hours. Lee is a Category one hurricane but should transition to a post-tropical system over the weekend. Margot will not have an impact on land. Tropical Depression 15 is expected to become a major hurricane by the middle of next week and approach Bermuda.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 14, 2023
Tropical Storm Warnings are now out for parts of the NE US including Boston in preparation for the arrival of Hurricane Lee. Hurricane watches are out for parts of eastern Maine as well with strong rip currents, dangerous surf, coastal flooding and high winds expected. Lee is now passing west of Bermuda with tropical storm warnings in place there. Lee has weakened to a category 1 hurricane but should reach New England by Saturday and impact parts of Canada as well this weekend. Hurricane Margot is also a category one but will meander in the central Atlantic through this weekend and not impact land. Invest 97-L in the central Atlantic has a 90% chance to become our next named storm which would be Nigel. This system could impact parts of the US East Coast by late next week.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 13, 2023
Hurricane Lee is down to a Category 2 but could still pose a risk to Bermuda where Tropical Storm warnings are in effect. Hurricane Lee is expected to get close to New England by Saturday where hurricane, tropical storm and storm surge watches are in effect. Lee will bring strong wind, the threat for Coastal flooding and dangerous surf to parts of the NE and Nova Scotia this weekend. Hurricane Margot will gradually weaken and not be a threat to land through the weekend in the north central Atlantic. Invest 97-L has a high chance to become a Tropical Depression or storm in the central Atlantic the next few days. The next name on the list would be Nigel.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 12, 2023
Lee is still a major hurricane moving closer to Bermuda where a tropical storm watch is in effect. Hurricane Lee should pass west of Bermuda late Thursday & early Friday. Lee could impact parts of New England and Nova Scotia as a weaker hurricane by this weekend with heavy rain, strong wind, and dangerous surf & rip currents. Hurricane Margot is still out in the central Atlantic moving north with no threat to land at this time. Another strong tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance to become the next named storm over the next 7 days. The next name on the list is Nigel.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 11, 2023
We are right around the peak of hurricane season and the Atlantic Basin remains fairly active with Hurricane Lee passing north of the Caribbean Islands as a major Category 3. It is expected to pass just west of Bermuda early Friday and get uncomfortably close to the US east coast, likely New England by Saturday. No direct landfall is expected in any of these areas, but dangerous surf & rip currents will be threats. Margot is close to becoming a hurricane but should stay north in the central Atlantic over open water. Two additional tropical waves are being monitored in the far east Atlantic with one having a decent chance to become our next tropical cyclone.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 10, 2023
Hurricane Lee is still a threat to parts of the United States. Not in the short term, but a system that will need to be watched for several more days until confidences increases on where it wants to be next weekend.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 8, 2023
Hurricane Lee has weakened slightly from a Category 5 but is still a powerful Category 4 Hurricane in the west central Atlantic. It should remain a major hurricane through early next week as it passes north of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, & Hispaniola. It could still bring some impacts to the Bahamas & east coast of the US next week. But there is still some uncertainty as to whether or not it will head towards the US or make a turn to the north. Regardless, dangerous surf & strong rip currents are likely for parts of the US east coast beginning Sunday. Tropical Storm Margot in the eastern Atlantic is still expected to become a hurricane early next week but should turn north and not impact land.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 9, 2023
Hurricane Lee continues as a major hurricane and will be that way for at least 5 more days. Meanwhile, Margot continues to get more organized and stronger.
Hurricane Lee now powerful Category 4 storm as it barrels through Atlantic with eventual path uncertain
Hurricane Lee weakened slightly to a Category 4 storm after reaching Category 5 strength Thursday night. Lee is expected to remain a powerful storm through early next week as its potential path for East Coast impacts remains uncertain.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 7, 2023
Hurricane Lee has blown up to a major Category 4 hurricane in the central Atlantic and is expected to reach a dangerous and powerful Category 5 hurricane by Friday. Rip currents and hazardous surf will spread across the northern Caribbean Islands the next few days. Lee could bring some impacts to parts of the Bahamas and the east coast of the US next week but should stay over open water for at least the next 5 days. Tropical Storm Margot has also formed in the eastern Atlantic and is forecast to become a hurricane by this weekend.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 6, 2023
Lee is now a Category 1 hurricane and is expected to become a very dangerous major hurricane by Friday. Lee should stay north of the Caribbean Sea but could bring some impacts to parts of the Lesser Antilles & Puerto Rico by this weekend. Next week hurricane Lee could bring some impacts to the US east coast. But most models have Lee turning north before making a direct landfall on the US east coast. Another strong Tropical wave in the far east Atlantic still has a good shot to become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm over the next 7 days. Gulf of Mexico remains quiet for now.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 5, 2023
Tropical Depression #13 is now Tropical Storm Lee in the central Atlantic. It is forecast to become a Category 1 hurricane by Thursday. It is expected to become a major hurricane by Friday as it crosses just north of the Lesser Antilles & Puerto Rico. This system will need to be monitored closely as it could make it all the way to the east coast of the US next week. Another strong tropical wave has pushed off the west coast of Africa and has a high chance to become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm over the next 7 days. The remnants of Franklin in the NE Atlantic only has a slim shot to redevelop at this time.
Tropical Weather Update - September 4, 2023
Tropics remain active but a few systems are falling apart. Katia has become post-tropical & should fall apart soon. Remnants of Gert are on their last leg as well. But Invest 95-L is getting stronger & will likely be a tropical Depression or storm soon. Another strong tropical wave is coming off the coast of Africa with a medium chance for tropical cyclone development.