Tropical Weather Forecast - 10-18-2023
We are rolling closer to the end of hurricane season but the tropics remain active. In the Atlantic, Invest 94-L has become Tropical Storm Tammy in the central Atlantic. Tropical Storm Warnings are now out for Barbados, Martinique & Guadeloupe. These Caribbean Islands could get 3-6"+ of rain and tropical storm force winds by Friday and Saturday. After that, Tammy is expected to turn north which would keep it out of the Gulf of Mexico and away from SE Texas. In the Eastern Pacific, Norma has become a hurricane west of Mexico and could send some moisture towards SE TX early next week. Norma will be near the Baja Peninsula by this weekend. There's also a high chance for a Tropical wave to develop south of S. Mexico over the next week.
Fox 26 Weather
It was another cool start across Houston and surrounding areas in the 40s and 50s. Tonight will be on the milder side with overnight lows dipping into the 60s for Houston. We'll rebound to the upper 80s Thursday with a weak front moving in. That front will not bring any cooler air but will bring a brief wind shift and some drier air briefly. But get ready for more of that summer heat to push back in. In fact, we'll be near record high temperatures Friday as we soar to the low 90s! Temperatures stay near 90 through Sunday with a gradual drop in temperatures expected as we go through next week. Rain chances will also start to increase by the middle of next week with some tropical moisture being pushed into the area. A bigger temperature drop is likely late next week with another cold front.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 17, 2023
With only about 6 weeks left in hurricane season, things are a bit less active than earlier in the year in the Atlantic Basin. No tropical activity is showing up in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean Sea for now. However, it's still looking like invest 94-L, a tropical wave in the central Atlantic, will become our next tropical depression or storm soon. It will make it to parts of the Lesser Antilles later this week but should turn north before it would get anywhere close to SE Texas. The eastern Pacific is still busy with newly formed Tropical Storm Norma and another tropical wave. We may get some moisture from these systems about a week from now that would increase our rain chances.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 16, 2023
Invest 94-L is in the east-central tropical Atlantic with a medium chance of development over the next 48 hours. It has a high chance to become our next tropical cyclone over the next 7 days. Tammy is up next on our list of tropical cyclone names for the Atlantic Basin. The Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean remain quiet for now with no activity expected over the next few days. Historically, our chance of being hit by a tropical cyclone starts to decrease between now and the end of hurricane season. But you still want to stay alert for the possibility of a tropical system since the Gulf of Mexico waters remain very warm. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 15, 2023
The next name on the list for the Atlantic Basin is Tammy. Looks like Tammy will make an appearance later in the week but Sean will not last much longer. Look for Sean to become a remnant low Sunday night.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 14, 2023
Sean is now a tropical depression in the Atlantic. It's mid-October but the tropics are not ready to slow down yet. Looks like INVEST 94L wants to be the next named storm.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 13, 2023
We have less than two months left in the 2023 hurricane season. So far, we've had 19 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin this season. Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean remain quiet for now. But we still have two systems to watch in the Atlantic. Tropical storm Sean in the east-central Atlantic is barely hanging on and is very disorganized. It will likely fall apart over the weekend. A tropical wave to the SE of Sean, Invest 94-L, has a high chance of becoming our next tropical depression or storm over the next week. The next name would be Tammy.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 12, 2023
Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean are quiet for now with two systems we are monitoring in the Atlantic. One is Tropical Storm Sean which is in the eastern Atlantic. It is expected to remain fairly disorganized as it moves northwest. Tropical Storm Sean should weaken back to a tropical depression over the next few days and lose tropical characteristics by Sunday. A tropical wave in the far east Atlantic now has a medium chance to become our next tropical system. The next name on the list to be used for the Atlantic Basin is Tammy.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 11, 2023
The two tropical cyclones we had in the eastern Pacific, Max and Lidia both have dissipated. But an area of low pressure now in the northern Gulf of Mexico is spreading some heavier showers across central and eastern parts of the Gulf coast. Good news is that tropical cyclone development is no longer expected and most of the rain has shifted east of the Houston area. We do have a new tropical storm in the far east Atlantic named Sean. It is forecast to remain disorganized and weaken to a remnant low early next week. Another tropical wave near the west coast of Africa only has a low chance to become our next tropical depression or storm.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 10, 2023
Disturbance in the SW Gulf of Mexico now has only a 10% extremely low chance to develop into a tropical system. Hurricane hunters investigated the system and found it disorganized with only 20-25 mph winds. However moisture from that system and powerful Hurricane Lidia in the eastern Pacific will head our way. That means an increased chance for showers this evening, tonight and Wednesday for SE Texas. There's a high chance for a tropical wave to be our next tropical depression or storm in the eastern Atlantic.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 9, 2023
Things could get interesting in the Gulf of Mexico as a small area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche (SW Gulf) is being monitored for tropical cyclone development. The good news is that there's only a low 20% chance for a tropical depression or tropical storm to form in the next few days. But moisture from that system combined with moisture from tropical systems in the eastern Pacific will combine to spread more moisture our way. That means an increasing chance of some heavy downpours, especially late Tuesday and Wednesday. Right now it does not appear that any of these systems will have a major impact to our weather. But look for 1-2" of rain possible between Tuesday PM and Wednesday PM for SE Texas. We are also tracking a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic with now a high chance for tropical cyclone development as it moves WNW over the next few days.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 8, 2023
The National Hurricane Center is still watching a tropical wave off the coast of Africa but the Eastern Pacific is becoming a bit of a mess. Tropical Storm Lidia is about to become a hurricane and another tropical depression has just formed.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 7, 2023
The remnants of Philippe with bring stormy weather to New England and Nova Scotia this weekend. Tropical Storm Lidia looks to hurricane sized landfall into Mexico coast.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 6, 2023
Philippe has become Post-Tropical Cyclone Philippe as it moves north into cooler waters. It still is bringing some heavy rain and strong wind to Bermuda. Philippe could spread 1-3" of rain over parts of northern New England and Nova Scotia this weekend as it is forecast to make landfall Saturday night. Another tropical wave is coming off of the coast of Africa with a medium 50% chance to develop into a tropical cyclone over the next 7 days. The next name on the list would be Sean. Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean remain quiet for now but hurricane season runs through the end of November. So stay alert!
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 5, 2023
Tropical Storm Philippe is moving closer to Bermuda this evening and will pass just to the west tonight and Friday. Tropical Storm Warnings are in place for Bermuda. Strong winds & 2-4" of rain are possible through Friday. Philippe will become post-tropical Saturday but could still bring impacts to parts of Maine. Another tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa this weekend and has a low 30% chance of becoming a tropical system over the next week.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 4, 2023
There's still a few months left in hurricane season and we still have one tropical storm to track at this time. Philippe is moving north away from the Caribbean Islands and barely hanging on as a tropical storm. However, it is forecast to become a stronger tropical storm later this week and should track over Bermuda Thursday into Friday where Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect. Then Philippe will have a shot at making landfall this weekend around northern New England or western parts of Nova Scotia in Canada. Philippe should remain a tropical storm through the weekend and could bring some heavy rain and strong wind to parts of the NE late this week. No other tropical cyclones are expected in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean over the next few days.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 3, 2023
The one system we continue to monitor is Tropical Storm Philippe in the SW Atlantic. Philippe is starting to move away from the Caribbean Islands but could track over Bermuda late Thursday into Friday. Philippe is moving north but the overall track has shifted west which could take it up between Maine and Nova Scotia by this weekend. No other Tropical cyclone formation is expected over the next few days.
Tropical Storm Philippe makes landfall in Barbuda and will continue to strengthen
Philippe will begin to pull away from the northern Leeward Islands on Tuesday and head north into the central Atlantic, where it could intensify into a hurricane by the end of the workweek.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 2, 2023
Rina has dissipated but Philippe remains a tropical storm near the northern Leeward Islands with 50 mph winds. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbuda and for Antigua. Philippe should gradually gain strength as it moves north over the next few days. Tropical Storm Philippe will stay away from the US but should be near hurricane strength when it passes east of Bermuda by Friday. The rest of the Atlantic Basin remains quiet for now but hurricane season runs through the end of November. So stay alert!
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 1, 2023
There are two named storms in the Atlantic but one of them won't be around much longer. Rina is about to end its run as a tropical cyclone. Philippe is working hard to become the 7th hurricane of the 2023 season.