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Tropical Weather Forecast - September 22, 2022

Invest 98-L is in the SE Caribbean and has an 80% chance for development over the next 48 hours and a 90% chance for development over the next 5 days. Models are in good agreement that it will track west through the Caribbean and eventually turn NW this weekend. But after 3-4 days, models disagree on where this system will head and that means everyone along the Gulf Coast should stay weather aware and keep checking in with the FOX 26 Weather Team daily. It still appears a front will dip down early next week and try to steer the system NE but there are several factors that are in play that could change the strength and track of this developing system. Once it gets going, it will have plenty of warm water and a low-shear environment for quick strengthening so it's something to pay close attention to. Fiona is still a major hurricane with 130 mph winds headed close to Bermuda tonight where hurricane warnings are in effect. Gaston is still a tropical storm with 65 mph winds which could bring some heavy rain and strong winds to the Azores.