Tracking Monstrous Hurricane Milton, Kirk and Leslie | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Hurricane Milton is the biggest story in the tropics as it has quickly blown up into a MONSTROUS Category 5 Hurricane in the SW Gulf of Mexico. It's forecast to hit Florida late Wednesday into early Thursday near Tampa Bay bringing life-threatening storm surge, a big flash flood threat and damaging winds that could be 100+ mph. It is forecast to weaken to a Category 3 Hurricane around the time of landfall. Another area is being monitored for a low 10% chance for tropical cyclone development just SE of Miami. Hurricane Leslie in the central Atlantic is expected to turn north and stay away from the U.S. Kirk has become post-tropical and is moving away from the United States.

Tropical weather update: Potential Florida system and distant swells from Hurricane Kirk

Currently, 4 areas are being monitored in the Atlantic basin that could pose some problems. A trough of low pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico now has a MEDIUM 50% chance for tropical development. Models do show a possible system developing early next week and heading toward Florida bringing the threat of heavy rain. The next name on the list would be Milton. Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie in the central Atlantic should stay far away from the U.S. Kirk could bring large swells and a high rip currents risk to the U.S. East Coast by Sunday. Another tropical wave near the west coast of Africa has a low 30% chance for development over the next 7 days.

Watching Hurricane Kirk, monitoring Gulf of Mexico for development | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

We are still monitoring three different areas in the tropics. Kirk is a powerful Category three major hurricane in the central Atlantic. It should maintain hurricane status through early next week but is forecast to turn NE and stay out over water and away from the U.S. Tropical Depression 13 is now Tropical Storm Leslie in the eastern Atlantic. It is forecast to become a hurricane but should also stay out to sea and not impact land. Third area being monitored consists of disorganized showers and storms associated with a surface trough in the Gulf of Mexico. Right now there's a Low 30% chance that an area of low pressure could form and turn into our next tropical system over the next week. Models don't show a system rapidly developing. But they do show the threat for heavy rain increasing for the Florida Peninsula. The next tropical system would be named Milton. Keep checking back for the latest!

Watching Kirk and T.D. #13 | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Tropics remain fairly active across the Atlantic basin with a hurricane, tropical depression and a disturbance with the potential for tropical development. Hurricane Kirk is in the central Atlantic and is expected to become a major hurricane by Thursday. It is forecast to turn northeast by this weekend and should remain out over water. Invest 91-L in the far east Atlantic is now Tropical Depression 13. This system is expected to become Tropical Storm Leslie very soon and hurricane Leslie by Saturday. This tropical system is also expected to remain over water. NHC is still giving a broad trough of low pressure from the SW Caribbean to the southern Gulf of Mexico a MEDIUM 40% chance for development. Models are not showing any significant development in the Gulf but a weaker system could still form. Regardless, plume of tropical moisture is likely to push towards the Gulf coast this weekend increasing rain chances. Download FOX LOCAL for the latest on what's happening in the tropics!

Western Caribbean being watched for development

Atlantic Basin remains busy and fired up to kick off the month of October. There's Hurricane Kirk in the east-central Atlantic. It is forecast to become a major hurricane by Thursday. The good news is that it is not expected to be a threat to land. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, Invest 91-L has a high chance to become our next tropical system. Next two names are Leslie and Milton. A disturbance in the western Caribbean is being monitored for tropical development over the next week. Chance is a MEDIUM 40% shot. This area of disturbed weather could drift into the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Models are showing another increase in tropical moisture heading our way this weekend but no organized tropical system coming here just yet. Keep checking back for updates!

Isaac, Joyce weaken as new storms form | Tropical Update

Atlantic basin remains super active with 5 systems that we are closely tracking. Tropical Storm Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce are still churning in the central Atlantic but are expected to stay out to sea and gradually weaken. A tropical wave being monitored in the eastern Atlantic is now Tropical Depression 12. This system will likely become tropical storm Kirk soon. Another tropical wave near the west coast of Africa has a low 30% chance to become a tropical system over the next 7 days. A broad area of low pressure has formed in the western Caribbean and NHC says a tropical depression or storm could form over the seven days. This system is expected to push into the Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. So keep checking back for the latest updates!

Another possible tropical system in the Gulf

Post-Tropical Helene continues to wind down over the Tennessee Valley region. There's still a low flash flood risk today from Cincinnati to St. Louis to Nashville. Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce are still churning in the central Atlantic but are expected to stay out to sea. We are closely monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic now with a HIGH 70% chance to become a tropical system over the next week. There's also an area of concern in the western Caribbean where models indicate an area of low pressure may form over the next 7 days. This means another tropical system could be rolling through the Gulf of Mexico by late next week. Right now there's a MEDIUM 50% chance of this happening. Download FOX Local to get the latest updates on a very busy hurricane season!

Helene makes landfall, watching new area in western Caribbean

Helene is now a Post-Tropical cyclone over Kentucky with 35 mph winds after making landfall Thursday night around the Big Bend of Florida as a Category 4 140 mph hurricane. It has already dumped over 30 inches of rain across parts of North Carolina and is the cause of massive flash flooding across several states. Helene will still bring a flash flood threat across the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys as it falls apart over the weekend. Weather for Houston will be closer to perfect this weekend with pleasant mornings and warm but sunny afternoons. Temperatures will get a bit hotter next week with low rain chances returning Thursday and Friday. Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce are both in the central Atlantic but are not expected to be a threat to land at this point. Two areas are being monitored with a low 30% chance for tropical development over the next week. One is in the eastern Atlantic and the other is in the western Caribbean. Keep checking back for updates and make sure to download FOX Local on your smart TV for the latest!

Possible tropical cyclone development in Caribbean

All eyes are still on the Northwest Caribbean for possible tropical cyclone development, but it is going to take several more days for anything to show up. Models are starting to agree a little bit on the general direction of the potential system.

Potential tropical development possible next week in the Gulf of Mexico | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Chance for potential tropical development has increased to 50% for the NW Caribbean and Southern Gulf of Mexico over the next seven days. That means we should be alert for a possible tropical system in the Gulf, especially mid-late next week. Models are not certain exactly where this system will track yet so keep checking back for updates! Two other disturbances in the Atlantic, Invest 96-L and the remnants of Gordon are unlikely to develop into tropical systems. Environmental conditions appear unfavorable and chances have dropped to 10%.

Three potential areas of development in Atlantic

We are still monitoring three areas across the Atlantic basin with the potential for tropical cyclone development. An area of low pressure could form in the NW Caribbean and push into the southern Gulf of Mexico over the next week. Chances have increased to 40% over the next 7 days. Models are still torn as to whether it would move closer to Mexico, Houston or Florida so keep checking back for updates. Disorganized low pressure in the west-central Atlantic has a low 20% chance for development over the next week. The remnants of Gordon in the central Atlantic are expected to drift north and stay away from land. But there's a 30% chance Gordon could turn back into a tropical system.

Caribbean Sea being watched for development

Remnants of Gordon remain weak and disorganized in the Central Atlantic. As this disturbance drifts north over the next few days, there's a LOW 30% chance of tropical development. Chance increases to a MEDIUM 60% chance for a tropical storm to redevelop over the next week. But this system is expected to remain over water. Another area in the NW Caribbean Sea is being monitored for long-term development over the next several days. There's a LOW 20% chance a tropical system could form near the Yucatan Peninsula and push into the Gulf of Mexico over the next 7 days. Stay up to date on weather where you live with the free FOX Local app!

Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight brings heavy rain

What used to be Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight continues to bring rounds of heavy rain to parts of the Carolinas. Close to 20" has fallen in parts of North Carolina around Carolina Beach. The only other system being monitored now is in the central Atlantic. The remnants of Gordon remain disorganized with no threat to land. There's a low 20% chance for Gordon to return to bring a tropical system over the next two days. There's a MEDIUM 40% chance for redevelopment over the next 7 days.

Watching Potential Tropical Cyclone 8, Gordon | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight is no longer expected to become Tropical Storm Helene because it is already moving inland along the Carolina coast. It will still bring a big flood threat to the Carolinas over the next few days and could produce a few tornadoes. 4-8" of rain will be possible with isolated 10" totals. The other system being monitored is Gordon which remains a fairly disorganized Tropical depression. Gordon is in the central Atlantic and should not be a threat to land.