Tropical Weather Forecast - August 19, 2023
Hilary is about to soak the Southwestern US. Flooding is expected for parts of California, Arizona, Nevada, and Utah. All of Texas is watching for a tropical wave to enter the Gulf of Mexico, hoping for rain and cooler temps to arrive to the Lone Star State.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 18, 2023
There is a lot to discuss in the tropics! Hilary is all the talk for this weekend but the Atlantic Basin is going off. NHC now watching 4 areas for development of tropical cyclones.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 17, 2023
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 17, 2023
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 16, 2023
The Atlantic is starting to wake up, with several areas being monitored for development including one in the Gulf. The Pacific is also fairly active, with 3 named systems and one additional area that could develop.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 15, 2023
More named storms forming in the Pacific, say hello to Greg. The Atlantic Basin is heating up with the National Hurricane Center focused on two different areas.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 14, 2023
It's the middle of August, and as expected the Atlantic Basin is showing signs of life. Look for a named storm or two over the next week.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 13, 2023
We are continuing to track the tropics.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 12, 2023
Hurricane Dora is now Typhoon Dora. Saharan dust is thick across the Atlantic but outlooks expect more activity soon as the dust starts to decrease.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 11, 2023
An above normal remainder of the hurricane season is forecast for the Atlantic basin even though things remain quiet for now. Saharan dust is expected to decrease over the next few weeks and water temperatures are super warm. So this could mean an increase in tropical activity late August and especially September. So stay alert! Elsewhere in the eastern Pacific, three systems are being monitored for potential tropical cyclone development over the next week. Two of these systems have a high chance to form into a tropical depression or storm. Hurricane Dora is far SW of Hawaii and will cross into the western Pacific soon switching to a "typhoon".
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 10, 2023
Saharan Dust continues to impact much of the Atlantic hindering tropical cyclone development for now. Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean are also quiet. But the rest of the hurricane season is still expected to get active with NOAA now predicting 14-21 named storms, 6-11 hurricanes, and 2-5 major hurricanes. Hurricane Dora is still fairly strong now SW of Hawaii with 3 other tropical waves that could develop in the eastern Pacific. Stay alert as things could get active quickly over the next month in the tropics.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 9, 2023
All is quiet in the Tropical Atlantic with no tropical cyclones expected to form over the next few days. Three areas are being monitored for possible development in the eastern Pacific. Hurricane Dora is still going strong, now SW of Hawaii. But the pressure change between Dora south of Hawaii and high-pressure north of Hawaii contributed to strong winds that helped fuel massive wildfires on the Hawaiian Island of Maui today.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 8, 2023
Things are still quiet across the Atlantic Basin with no tropical cyclones expected to develop over the next few days. Dora remains a powerful hurricane in the central Pacific well south of Hawaii but is expected to remain over water. Saharan dust is still present across much of the Atlantic limiting tropical development. But as this dust goes away over the coming weeks, very warm water temperatures could mean an uptick in tropical activity...stay tuned.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 7, 2023
For the north Atlantic, Caribbean Sea & Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days. The eastern Pacific, however, remains unsettled with a hurricane, tropical storm and a possible area of development that is being watched. Hurricane Dora remains strong but is passing well south of Hawaii. Tropical Storm Eugene should lose tropical characteristics over the next 24 hours as it moves over cooler waters. Things are still expected to get more active in the Atlantic basin over the coming weeks with August and September being the most active part of hurricane season.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 6, 2023
August is when tropical cyclone activity should increase across the Atlantic Basin, but things are quiet for now. Do you remember how many named storms have formed so far in 2023? (this is kind of a trick question)
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 5, 2023
The Atlantic is quiet now but the experts at Colorado State University are expecting things to become active over the next couple months. Have you seen the latest numbers from Dr. Philip Klotzbach and his team?
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 4, 2023
All is quiet in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea & Atlantic for now with no tropical cyclone formation expected over the next few days. A few disturbances in the eastern Atlantic are battling Saharan dust and will likely not get stronger. Eastern Pacific is more active with a high chance for a tropical wave off the SW Mexican coast to develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days. We also still have Hurricane Dora in the east-central Pacific which has gotten a little weaker. The good news is that it should pass south of the Hawaiian Islands early next week.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 3, 2023
There are a couple of tropical waves near the west coast of Africa but at this time tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 48 hours. There's still quite a bit of Saharan Dust in the Atlantic that these possible systems will have to fight against. All is quiet in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico for now. In the eastern Pacific, Dora remains a major hurricane but is not a threat to land. Dora should pass well to the south of the Hawaiian Islands early next week.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 2, 2023
Disturbance in the middle of the Atlantic now only has a small chance to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves north. So it will likely not become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm. In the Eastern Pacific, Dora is a small but powerful hurricane moving west but is no threat to land.
Tropical Weather Forecast - August 1, 2023
We are still tracking one tropical wave in the central Atlantic which now only has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm Emily as it moves north. It is not a threat to the US coast. Things are still quiet in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean with no tropical cyclone formation expected over the next few days. In the eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Dora has formed and is moving west away from Mexico. It is expected to become a major hurricane by Thursday but is not a threat to land at this point.
Tropical Weather Forecast - July 31, 2023
A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is a bit less organized today but still has a good 60% chance for development over the next 2 days & a 70% chance over the next 7 days. But it is moving north & should stay away from the US. Another Tropical wave in the western Atlantic only has a 10% to develop into a tropical system as it races to the ENE.