Tropical Weather Forecast - September 2, 2023

The National Hurricane Center is done with Idalia but they still have Gert and Katia to watch in the Atlantic. We are mostly concerned with an area that hasn't formed yet but looks like it will be the next named storm.

Tropical Weather Forecast - Sept. 1, 2023

Tropics remain super active as we get closer to the peak of hurricane season which is September 10th. Six systems, including four named systems are being monitored in the Atlantic. Fortunately, none of these system appear to threaten SE TX or the US anytime soon. Post Tropical Cyclone Idalia may bring tropical storm conditions to Bermuda this weekend as it regains tropical storm status. Hurricane Franklin should lose tropical characteristics as it moves into colder waters of the north Atlantic. Tropical Storm Jose should be absorbed by Franklin soon and fall apart. Tropical depression Gert has reformed in the central Atlantic after being a tropical storm several days ago. It is no threat to land at this time. Tropical depression #12 has formed in the far east Atlantic and could become Katia this weekend. Another tropical wave is expected to roll off of the west coast of Africa the next few days and has a medium chance for development.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 31, 2023

Idalia has dumped 5-10" of rain over parts of Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas but now has become a Post-Tropical Cyclone as it moves into the western Atlantic. Idalia will still pose a threat to Bermuda this weekend where Tropical Storm watches are now in place. Hurricane Franklin is moving away from Bermuda to the NE and should gradually weaken as it pushes into cooler waters. Tropical Storm Jose is expected to get absorbed into hurricane Franklin and the remnants of Gert are drifting north over the next few days with only a low chance for development. Another tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic now has a high chance to become a tropical system. The next name on the list would be Katia.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 30, 2023

Hurricane Idalia made landfall as a strong Category 3 hurricane with 125 mph winds this morning near Keaton Beach, Florida. Idalia has been downgraded to a tropical storm but still poses a storm surge, flooding, strong wind and tornado threat for parts of Georgia and the Carolinas. Idalia should push into the western Atlantic by Friday and get close to Bermuda this weekend as it slowly weakens. Hurricane Franklin is passing NW of Bermuda today with tropical storm force winds possible for the Bermuda area. Tropical Depression #11 and the remnants of Gert are in the central Atlantic but should fall apart over the next few days. Invest 94-L in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance for development over the next several days.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 29, 2023

Idalia is getting closer to Florida and is now a Category two hurricane with winds of 100 mph. It is still expected to bring a big flood threat, storm surge risk, damaging wind risk and tornado threat to a big portion of Florida, especially the Florida Big Bend. Landfall is likely Wednesday morning as a major Category three hurricane with 125 mph winds around the Big Bend of Florida. Tropical storm conditions are expected all the way over to Jacksonville and eventually up around the Carolinas where Tropical Storm Warnings are in place. Franklin is still a major hurricane that will pass west of Bermuda where Tropical Storm warnings are in place. Tropical Depression 11 has formed in the central Atlantic. There's also a tropical wave near the west coast of Africa with a medium chance for development over the next week. Stay alert as we are now in the busiest part of hurricane season!

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 28, 2023

Idalia is close to becoming a hurricane today and is expected to strengthen to a major Category three hurricane by early Wednesday. Hurricane warnings are in place for parts of the Florida Gulf Coast, including Tampa Bay. Idalia is projected to make landfall around the Big Bend of Florida Wednesday morning bringing up to a foot of rain, storm surge up to 7-11 feet NW of Tampa, damaging winds & the threat for tornadoes. Hurricane Franklin has grown into a dangerous category 4 hurricane in the western Atlantic. It should remain over water but will get close to Bermuda early Wednesday where Tropical Storm Watches are in effect. Another tropical wave coming off the coast of Africa has a medium chance to develop into a tropical system over the next week.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 27, 2023

If you are in Florida, now is the time to prepare for Idalia. Hurricane Watches are up for parts of the west coast. In other Atlantic news, Franklin will some be a major hurricane.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 25, 2023

Trouble could be brewing for the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Invest 93-L is now over the NW Caribbean with a high 80% chance to develop into a tropical system over the next 7 days. It should pass through the Yucatan Channel this weekend and emerge into the eastern Gulf of Mexico Monday. Models take it up towards the northern Florida Coast by Tuesday. Tropical Storm Franklin is expected to grow into a hurricane early next week as it brushes by Bermuda. A few other tropical waves in the central Atlantic are being monitored for development.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 24, 2023

We are about a week away from the month of September which is the typical peak of hurricane season. As expected, the tropics are heating up with several systems I'm monitoring. There's an area of low pressure over Central America that could track into the NW Caribbean and eventually the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Tropical Storm Franklin is east of the Turks and Caicos Islands and will develop into a hurricane as it gets close to Bermuda early next week. Two additional tropical waves in the eastern & central Atlantic will need to be watched as they both have a medium chance for development.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 22, 2023

Harold has weakened to a Tropical Depression with 35 mph winds near Laredo. But Harold was a Tropical Storm this morning when it made landfall around Padre Island with 50 mph winds near 10 AM. Harold brought 3-6" of rain for parts of south Texas with isolated higher amounts and will push into SW Texas and northern Mexico tonight and early Wednesday with a continued flood threat. Spotty downpours are possible for the Houston area through early tonight with just isolated rain possible for the rest of the week. Another Tropical Storm, Franklin, is south of Haiti & the Dominican Republic where tropical storm warnings are in effect. A few additional tropical waves are being monitored in the central and eastern part of the Atlantic.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 21, 2023

The tropics have blown up over the last week with several systems we are watching, including a newly formed tropical depression in the Gulf. Tropical Depression #9 is expected to reach the south Texas Gulf coast by Tuesday morning as a tropical storm with 45 mph winds. It should make landfall between Corpus Christi and Brownsville, crossing over Laredo by Tuesday afternoon. The heaviest rain and flood threat should stay south of Houston along with the strongest winds. However, coastal Jackson and Matagorda counties are under a tropical storm watch where winds could gust over 40 mph there and some heavier rain will likely fall. Houston will have more clouds and about a 40% chance for scattered showers and storms. Tropical Storm Franklin will bring heavy rain to Haiti and the Dominican Republic. We are also still tracking Tropical Storm Gert, Post-Tropical Storm Emily and another tropical wave in the Atlantic. The busiest part of hurricane season is here so stay alert