Tropical Weather Forecast - October 11, 2023
The two tropical cyclones we had in the eastern Pacific, Max and Lidia both have dissipated. But an area of low pressure now in the northern Gulf of Mexico is spreading some heavier showers across central and eastern parts of the Gulf coast. Good news is that tropical cyclone development is no longer expected and most of the rain has shifted east of the Houston area. We do have a new tropical storm in the far east Atlantic named Sean. It is forecast to remain disorganized and weaken to a remnant low early next week. Another tropical wave near the west coast of Africa only has a low chance to become our next tropical depression or storm.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 10, 2023
Disturbance in the SW Gulf of Mexico now has only a 10% extremely low chance to develop into a tropical system. Hurricane hunters investigated the system and found it disorganized with only 20-25 mph winds. However moisture from that system and powerful Hurricane Lidia in the eastern Pacific will head our way. That means an increased chance for showers this evening, tonight and Wednesday for SE Texas. There's a high chance for a tropical wave to be our next tropical depression or storm in the eastern Atlantic.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 9, 2023
Things could get interesting in the Gulf of Mexico as a small area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche (SW Gulf) is being monitored for tropical cyclone development. The good news is that there's only a low 20% chance for a tropical depression or tropical storm to form in the next few days. But moisture from that system combined with moisture from tropical systems in the eastern Pacific will combine to spread more moisture our way. That means an increasing chance of some heavy downpours, especially late Tuesday and Wednesday. Right now it does not appear that any of these systems will have a major impact to our weather. But look for 1-2" of rain possible between Tuesday PM and Wednesday PM for SE Texas. We are also tracking a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic with now a high chance for tropical cyclone development as it moves WNW over the next few days.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 8, 2023
The National Hurricane Center is still watching a tropical wave off the coast of Africa but the Eastern Pacific is becoming a bit of a mess. Tropical Storm Lidia is about to become a hurricane and another tropical depression has just formed.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 7, 2023
The remnants of Philippe with bring stormy weather to New England and Nova Scotia this weekend. Tropical Storm Lidia looks to hurricane sized landfall into Mexico coast.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 6, 2023
Philippe has become Post-Tropical Cyclone Philippe as it moves north into cooler waters. It still is bringing some heavy rain and strong wind to Bermuda. Philippe could spread 1-3" of rain over parts of northern New England and Nova Scotia this weekend as it is forecast to make landfall Saturday night. Another tropical wave is coming off of the coast of Africa with a medium 50% chance to develop into a tropical cyclone over the next 7 days. The next name on the list would be Sean. Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean remain quiet for now but hurricane season runs through the end of November. So stay alert!
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 5, 2023
Tropical Storm Philippe is moving closer to Bermuda this evening and will pass just to the west tonight and Friday. Tropical Storm Warnings are in place for Bermuda. Strong winds & 2-4" of rain are possible through Friday. Philippe will become post-tropical Saturday but could still bring impacts to parts of Maine. Another tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa this weekend and has a low 30% chance of becoming a tropical system over the next week.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 4, 2023
There's still a few months left in hurricane season and we still have one tropical storm to track at this time. Philippe is moving north away from the Caribbean Islands and barely hanging on as a tropical storm. However, it is forecast to become a stronger tropical storm later this week and should track over Bermuda Thursday into Friday where Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect. Then Philippe will have a shot at making landfall this weekend around northern New England or western parts of Nova Scotia in Canada. Philippe should remain a tropical storm through the weekend and could bring some heavy rain and strong wind to parts of the NE late this week. No other tropical cyclones are expected in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean over the next few days.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 3, 2023
The one system we continue to monitor is Tropical Storm Philippe in the SW Atlantic. Philippe is starting to move away from the Caribbean Islands but could track over Bermuda late Thursday into Friday. Philippe is moving north but the overall track has shifted west which could take it up between Maine and Nova Scotia by this weekend. No other Tropical cyclone formation is expected over the next few days.
Tropical Storm Philippe makes landfall in Barbuda and will continue to strengthen
Philippe will begin to pull away from the northern Leeward Islands on Tuesday and head north into the central Atlantic, where it could intensify into a hurricane by the end of the workweek.
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 2, 2023
Rina has dissipated but Philippe remains a tropical storm near the northern Leeward Islands with 50 mph winds. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbuda and for Antigua. Philippe should gradually gain strength as it moves north over the next few days. Tropical Storm Philippe will stay away from the US but should be near hurricane strength when it passes east of Bermuda by Friday. The rest of the Atlantic Basin remains quiet for now but hurricane season runs through the end of November. So stay alert!
Tropical Weather Forecast - October 1, 2023
There are two named storms in the Atlantic but one of them won't be around much longer. Rina is about to end its run as a tropical cyclone. Philippe is working hard to become the 7th hurricane of the 2023 season.
Tropical Weather Forecast - Sept. 30, 2023
Another round of updates on Philippe and Rina. How long will these systems keep dancing out in the Atlantic? One of them is about to call it.
Tropical Weather Forecast - Sept. 29, 2023
Rina and Philippe are still churning in the Atlantic. These named storms are not giving up yet. Expect to be hearing more about them through the weekend.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 28, 2023
Two tropical storms are sitting side by side in the central Atlantic, Tropical Storm Philippe and newly formed Tropical Storm Rina just to the east of Philippe. Both systems are expected to remain tropical storms for the next 5 days and not head toward SE Texas. Things are quiet for now across the rest of the Atlantic Basin. But with two more months to go in hurricane season, make sure to stay alert for possible development with water temperatures in the Gulf, Caribbean & Atlantic still super warm.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 27, 2023
Gulf of Mexico remains quiet with no tropical activity headed towards SE Texas. But the Atlantic is still busy with Tropical Storm Philippe approaching the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico. Philippe should get close to the Northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico by this weekend with the potential for 2-4" of rain. But Philippe is forecast to lose tropical characteristics and weaken to a remnant low by this weekend. Tropical wave in the east central Atlantic still has a high chance to become a tropical depression or possibly Tropical Storm Rina over the next day or two.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 26, 2024
Things remain quiet for SE Texas with no tropical activity expected to impact us through this week. However, Philippe remains a tropical storm in the central Atlantic with 45 mph winds and it is expected to get close to the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico by this weekend. By then it should weaken to a post-tropical remnant low. A strong tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance to become the next tropical depression or storm over the next few days. Rina would be the next name for our next tropical storm or hurricane.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 25, 2023
A disturbance in the south central Gulf of Mexico is being monitored for tropical development as it moves west. There's only a tiny chance for it to develop into a tropical system and chances likely won't improve later this week. So at this point, impacts are unlikely for SE TX. Philippe is still a Tropical storm in the central Atlantic that should remain over water for the next 5 days. Philippe will likely track north of the Lesser Antilles. Invest 91-L is in the far east Atlantic with still a high chance to become a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next 7 days. The next name on the list is Rina.
Tropical Weather Forecast - September 24, 2023
Live & breaking news for the entire Houston area.
Tropical Weather Update - September 23, 2023
Tropical Storm Ophelia made landfall in North Carolina with near hurricane-force winds on Saturday morning. And another tropical storm has formed in the Atlantic.