Tropical Weather Forecast - November 28, 2023
So far this hurricane season, we've had 20 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes for the Atlantic Basin. It looks like we will likely wrap up the season with those numbers. Hurricane season ends in two days and all is quiet in the tropics. No tropical activity is expected over the next few days.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 27, 2023
The end of hurricane season is right around the corner. Is the Atlantic Basin ready to stay quiet for the rest of it?
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 26, 2023
System we were tracking in the Atlantic has fallen apart so all is quiet for now. Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico are quiet also. Tropical Storm Ramon in the eastern Pacific has lost tropical characteristics and has weakened to a remnant low. There's just a few days left in this year's hurricane season which ends on November 30.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 25, 2023
Hurricane season ends in less than a week but there are still a few systems that we are monitoring. A non-tropical low in the east-central Atlantic is moving into much cooler waters and the window for development into a tropical system is quickly closing. Chance for development is now near 0%. In the eastern Pacific, tropical storm Ramon is expected to weaken to a remnant low by Sunday and not impact land. Hurricane season ends November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 24, 2023
With only six days left in the 2023 hurricane season, there's a still a little action out there in the tropics! A non-tropical low in the central Atlantic now only has a low 20% chance for development into a tropical system over the next few days. Chance for this system to become a tropical depression or tropical storm likely ends by Sunday as it moves into colder waters. Tropical Depression Twenty-E in the eastern Pacific has 35 mph winds and is expected to remain fairly weak & lose tropical characteristics. Hurricane season ends November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 23, 2023
The Thanksgiving tropical update is fairly quiet in the Atlantic Basin. There is still an area of low pressure in the Atlantic that is being watched for further development but won't happen for a couple more days.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 22, 2023
Invest 99L in the central Caribbean is no longer a threat to become a tropical cyclone. There is a area of low pressure in the Atlantic that could be interested in claiming the name Vince.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 21, 2023
Hurricane season is winding down but there's still some action in the Atlantic and Caribbean. Invest 99-L in the central Caribbean is not looking very organized now and there's only a low 10% chance it will develop into a tropical system as it drifts west. Disturbance in the central Atlantic has a decent chance of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next week. But it is moving away from the United States and is not expected to impact land. Hurricane season ends on November 30.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 20, 2023
With only about 10 days left in this year's hurricane season, we are seeing things trying to wind down...but not quite! We are keeping a close eye on two systems that could get stronger. One system is in the central Caribbean and only has a low 10% chance to become a tropical depression or storm. It is moving west and will continue to be monitored for further development. Another system SE of Bermuda has a medium chance to become our next tropical system over the next 7 days as it pushes SE. The next name would be Vince. Hurricane season ends November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 19, 2023
A small area of low pressure just off the North coast of South America is being watch for tropical cyclone formation. This spot in the Caribbean will struggle to develop as it drifts slowly westward.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 18, 2023
Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Two is no more, as far as advisories from the National Hurricane Center. This storm system is still bringing heavy rain across Hispaniola this weekend and could create flash flooding and mudslides.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 17, 2023
Potential Tropical Cyclone 22 is moving over Jamaica bringing heavy rain and a threat for flooding. Tropical Storm watches continue for parts of Cuba, Haiti, and the SE Bahamas. There's a lower 30% chance that this system could turn into Tropical Storm Vince over the next few days. Flooding and strong gusty winds will be the main threat. It should get close to Bermuda by Sunday as it is losing tropical characteristics. This is the only active system for now and hurricane season runs through November 30th.
Hurricane season: Potential Tropical Cyclone 22 brewing in the Caribbean
With only about two weeks left in our hurricane season., we are likely less than 24 hours away from having yet another tropical storm in the Caribbean!
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 16, 2023
Hurricane season will be coming to an end soon. But we are still watching a few areas of development. Area of low pressure near Miami now is down to a near 0% chance for tropical cyclone development. But it will still bring some heavy rain to parts of Florida and the Bahamas. Area of low pressure in the west-central Caribbean now has a high chance to become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Vince over the next few days. Potential Tropical Cyclone 22 is expected to bring heavy rain and the threat for flooding to Jamaica, eastern Cuba and Haiti where Tropical Storm watches are in effect.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 15, 2023
We are about two weeks away from the end of the 2023 hurricane season. Tropics are heating up with two possible systems to watch. First is in the SW Caribbean with a medium chance to become a tropical depression or possibly Tropical Storm Vince over the next few days. It could bring some rain to Jamaica, Haiti, Cuba and the Dominican Republic which could increase the flood threat there. A new area of low pressure is expected to form just off the SE Florida coast but will only have a 10% chance of survival into a tropical cyclone.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 14, 2023
A late season tropical storm is not out the question with a disturbance still being monitored in the SW Caribbean for tropical development. This broad area of low pressure is expected to track NE and may develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days. Chance over the next few days is low but the chance for a tropical system to develop over the next 7 days is high, around 70%. I don't expect this system to head into the Gulf of Mexico but it will track towards Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti & the Dominican Republic. The rest of the tropics remain quiet for now. Hurricane season ends on November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 13, 2023
With just a few weeks left in the 2023 hurricane season, we may have a late-season surprise in the Caribbean! Broad area of low pressure is expected to develop over the next day or two in the SW Caribbean and track NE towards the central Caribbean and eventually Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic. If this system becomes a tropical storm, it would be named Vince. Right now it appears that it will not move towards SE Texas. The rest of the tropics remain quiet.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 10, 2023
With just about 3 weeks left in our 2023 hurricane season, things have been very quiet this week. In fact, no tropical cyclone activity is expected in the Atlantic Basin over the next 2 days. However, the SW Caribbean is being monitored for a possible late-season tropical cyclone development by the middle of next week. There is a 30% chance of this disturbance developing into a tropical depression or storm next week. The next name on the list would be "Vince". We'll keep a close eye on this system for next week when we could have an area of low pressure forming in the western Caribbean.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 9, 2023
Tropics remain very quiet across the Atlantic Basin and in the eastern Pacific. We remain at 20 named storms for the season, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes for the Atlantic Basin with two remaining names on the list. They are Vince and Whitney. Chance for future tropical development is getting lower with water temperatures getting a bit cooler. But we will continue to monitor through the end of hurricane season which runs through November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 8, 2023
With about three weeks remaining in the 2023 hurricane season, the Atlantic, Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and eastern Pacific remain very quiet. No tropical cyclone activity is expected over the next 7 days. Chances are getting lower day by day of any additional tropical activity. But we will continue to closely monitor through the end of hurricane season which runs through the end of November.