Watching Kristy, Oscar | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

It was a busy weekend in the tropics with Tropical Storm Nadine popping up in the NW Caribbean & quickly making landfall in Belize. The remnants of Nadine pushed into the eastern Pacific reorganizing into what is now Tropical Storm Kristy. Kristy is forecast to become a Category 2 hurricane later this week but will be moving west away from Mexico and the U.S. Oscar also formed in the Atlantic and quickly grew to a hurricane hitting parts of Cuba. Oscar has weakened to a tropical storm today over eastern Cuba and is expected to make a turn N then NE taking it towards the SE Bahamas. It will then move NE away from the U.S. the next few days before being absorbed by a non-tropical low later this week. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.

Tracking Hurricane Oscar, Tropical Storm Nadine

FOX 26 meteorologist John Dawson gives an update on Tropical Storm Nadine, which is bringing flooding to the Western Caribbean, and Hurricane Oscar which is impacting Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas before heading to Cuba.

Continuing to monitor 2 disturbances in Atlantic Basin | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update

We are still monitoring two disturbances in the Atlantic basin. Invest 95-L in the western Caribbean is now Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 with a HIGH 70% chance to become a brief tropical depression or tropical storm Nadine. PTC 15 is already very close to land & should move inland over Belize in Central America and Southern Mexico this weekend. Invest 94-L is just north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands with just a Low 20% shot to become a tropical system over the next 2-7 days. By early next week, upper level winds will become unfavorable for tropical development. This disturbance will likely dissipate at that time. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.

Continuing to monitor two potential systems | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Two areas are still being monitored for tropical development. One is in the west-central Atlantic and the other is in the western Caribbean near Central America. Invest 94-L in the Atlantic is a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands with a Low 30% chance of development into a tropical system. It could reach Puerto Rico and Hispaniola this weekend as a tropical depression or storm. But strong upper-level winds should end development chances by late in the weekend. Broad area of low pressure in the western Caribbean also has a low 30% chance to develop into a tropical system. The window is brief since it is expected to make landfall in Central America and Southern Mexico this weekend.

Monitoring areas of development in Atlantic | FOX 26 Houston Tropical Weather Forecast

There are still two areas of concern we are closely monitoring in the Atlantic basin. The first, Invest 94-L, has a MEDIUM 50% chance for development into our next tropical system which would be Nadine. It could reach the Lesser Antilles by this weekend as it moves west. Another broad area of low pressure is being monitored in the western Caribbean near Central America. If this disturbance remains over water, there's a low 20% chance it could strengten to a tropical depression or tropical storm. However, landfall would most likely be around Mexico and Central America. Download FOX Local app on your phone or smart tv for daily detailed tropical updates and more!

Monitoring two systems in the Atlantic | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Update

The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two systems for possible tropical cyclone development. One tropical wave, Invest 94-L, is in the central Atlantic now with a medium 60% chance for development into a tropical system. A tropical depression could form towards the end of the week as the disturbance approaches the Leeward Islands. A new area in the western Caribbean is now being monitored for possible tropical development. There's a low 20% chance that an area of low pressure could form late week near the Yucatan Peninsula. This will likely track into Mexico or Central America but we will watch it closely. Get daily updates on our FREE FOX Local app on your phone or smart TV!

Invest 94L gains strength | Tropical update

Overall the Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet but Invest 94L does not want to give up. The National Hurricane Center now gives this low pressure system a 40% chance of development into a tropical cyclone in 3-7 days from now.

Post-tropical cyclone Milton moves from Florida

Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton is now moving away from Florida into the Atlantic. It has lost tropical characteristics but still has strong winds. It caused over 3 million power outages across Florida, produced a big tornado outbreak in central & south Florida and dumped more than a foot of rain! There's still the threat for some storm surge and gusty winds through early evening for parts of the SE U.S. coast. But overall, conditions will be improving for Florida tonight. Tropical Storm Leslie in the Central Atlantic is still expected to track NE away from the United States and gradually weaken. Invest 94-L in the far east Atlantic has a low 20% chance to become our next tropical system. The next name would be Nadine

Hurricane Milton's landfall imminent in Florida | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Hurricane Milton is a bit weaker but remains a dangerous Category 3 system with an earlier landfall expected between 8-10 pm tonight just south of Tampa Bay. Widespread damaging winds 100+ mph, 6-12" of rain, and dangerous storm surge up to 12' is likely around Tampa Bay, Clearwater, Sarasota & Bradenton. Milton will push across the Central Florida Peninsula early Thursday morning and should still be a Category 1 hurricane as it rolls over Orlando. Milton should push out into the western Atlantic and gradually weaken by Thursday afternoon and evening . Invest 93-L in the SW Atlantic has a Low 30% chance of tropical development as it moves NE. Tropical wave is expected to roll off the west coast of Africa over the next day or two with a very low 10% chance to turn into a tropical system. Hurricane Leslie is still churning in the central Atlantic but will soon turn NE away from the U.S.

Tracking Milton and Leslie | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Milton is expected to remain a Major hurricane and expand in size as it approaches the Florida Gulf Coast Wednesday evening. If you have family or friends that live in an evacuation zone, make sure they are following orders and leaving in a timely manner! Landfall should be Wednesday night into early Thursday as a strong Category 3 or possibly a Category 4. Many areas along Florida's Gulf coast are under hurricane warnings including Tampa, St. Petersburg and Sarasota. Orlando, Florida will also feel hurricane impacts as Milton is still expected to be a Category 2 as it moves over Orlando Thursday morning. Tampa could get storm surge up to 15 feet with 5-12" of rain and damaging hurricane force winds. Life-threatening surf & rip currents are likely. Milton should exit Florida and start to weaken as it pushes into the western Atlantic Thursday afternoon and evening. A non-tropical low in the SW Atlantic near the Bahamas & a tropical wave in the far east Atlantic have a low 20% chance for tropical development over the next 7 days. Hurricane Leslie in the Central Atlantic is expected to turn NE away from the U.S. by late week.

Tracking Monstrous Hurricane Milton, Kirk and Leslie | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Hurricane Milton is the biggest story in the tropics as it has quickly blown up into a MONSTROUS Category 5 Hurricane in the SW Gulf of Mexico. It's forecast to hit Florida late Wednesday into early Thursday near Tampa Bay bringing life-threatening storm surge, a big flash flood threat and damaging winds that could be 100+ mph. It is forecast to weaken to a Category 3 Hurricane around the time of landfall. Another area is being monitored for a low 10% chance for tropical cyclone development just SE of Miami. Hurricane Leslie in the central Atlantic is expected to turn north and stay away from the U.S. Kirk has become post-tropical and is moving away from the United States.

Tropical weather update: Potential Florida system and distant swells from Hurricane Kirk

Currently, 4 areas are being monitored in the Atlantic basin that could pose some problems. A trough of low pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico now has a MEDIUM 50% chance for tropical development. Models do show a possible system developing early next week and heading toward Florida bringing the threat of heavy rain. The next name on the list would be Milton. Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie in the central Atlantic should stay far away from the U.S. Kirk could bring large swells and a high rip currents risk to the U.S. East Coast by Sunday. Another tropical wave near the west coast of Africa has a low 30% chance for development over the next 7 days.

Watching Hurricane Kirk, monitoring Gulf of Mexico for development | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

We are still monitoring three different areas in the tropics. Kirk is a powerful Category three major hurricane in the central Atlantic. It should maintain hurricane status through early next week but is forecast to turn NE and stay out over water and away from the U.S. Tropical Depression 13 is now Tropical Storm Leslie in the eastern Atlantic. It is forecast to become a hurricane but should also stay out to sea and not impact land. Third area being monitored consists of disorganized showers and storms associated with a surface trough in the Gulf of Mexico. Right now there's a Low 30% chance that an area of low pressure could form and turn into our next tropical system over the next week. Models don't show a system rapidly developing. But they do show the threat for heavy rain increasing for the Florida Peninsula. The next tropical system would be named Milton. Keep checking back for the latest!

Watching Kirk and T.D. #13 | FOX 26 Tropical Weather Forecast

Tropics remain fairly active across the Atlantic basin with a hurricane, tropical depression and a disturbance with the potential for tropical development. Hurricane Kirk is in the central Atlantic and is expected to become a major hurricane by Thursday. It is forecast to turn northeast by this weekend and should remain out over water. Invest 91-L in the far east Atlantic is now Tropical Depression 13. This system is expected to become Tropical Storm Leslie very soon and hurricane Leslie by Saturday. This tropical system is also expected to remain over water. NHC is still giving a broad trough of low pressure from the SW Caribbean to the southern Gulf of Mexico a MEDIUM 40% chance for development. Models are not showing any significant development in the Gulf but a weaker system could still form. Regardless, plume of tropical moisture is likely to push towards the Gulf coast this weekend increasing rain chances. Download FOX LOCAL for the latest on what's happening in the tropics!

Western Caribbean being watched for development

Atlantic Basin remains busy and fired up to kick off the month of October. There's Hurricane Kirk in the east-central Atlantic. It is forecast to become a major hurricane by Thursday. The good news is that it is not expected to be a threat to land. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, Invest 91-L has a high chance to become our next tropical system. Next two names are Leslie and Milton. A disturbance in the western Caribbean is being monitored for tropical development over the next week. Chance is a MEDIUM 40% shot. This area of disturbed weather could drift into the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Models are showing another increase in tropical moisture heading our way this weekend but no organized tropical system coming here just yet. Keep checking back for updates!

Isaac, Joyce weaken as new storms form | Tropical Update

Atlantic basin remains super active with 5 systems that we are closely tracking. Tropical Storm Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce are still churning in the central Atlantic but are expected to stay out to sea and gradually weaken. A tropical wave being monitored in the eastern Atlantic is now Tropical Depression 12. This system will likely become tropical storm Kirk soon. Another tropical wave near the west coast of Africa has a low 30% chance to become a tropical system over the next 7 days. A broad area of low pressure has formed in the western Caribbean and NHC says a tropical depression or storm could form over the seven days. This system is expected to push into the Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. So keep checking back for the latest updates!

Another possible tropical system in the Gulf

Post-Tropical Helene continues to wind down over the Tennessee Valley region. There's still a low flash flood risk today from Cincinnati to St. Louis to Nashville. Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce are still churning in the central Atlantic but are expected to stay out to sea. We are closely monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic now with a HIGH 70% chance to become a tropical system over the next week. There's also an area of concern in the western Caribbean where models indicate an area of low pressure may form over the next 7 days. This means another tropical system could be rolling through the Gulf of Mexico by late next week. Right now there's a MEDIUM 50% chance of this happening. Download FOX Local to get the latest updates on a very busy hurricane season!