Tropical Weather Forecast - November 23, 2023
The Thanksgiving tropical update is fairly quiet in the Atlantic Basin. There is still an area of low pressure in the Atlantic that is being watched for further development but won't happen for a couple more days.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 22, 2023
Invest 99L in the central Caribbean is no longer a threat to become a tropical cyclone. There is a area of low pressure in the Atlantic that could be interested in claiming the name Vince.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 21, 2023
Hurricane season is winding down but there's still some action in the Atlantic and Caribbean. Invest 99-L in the central Caribbean is not looking very organized now and there's only a low 10% chance it will develop into a tropical system as it drifts west. Disturbance in the central Atlantic has a decent chance of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next week. But it is moving away from the United States and is not expected to impact land. Hurricane season ends on November 30.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 20, 2023
With only about 10 days left in this year's hurricane season, we are seeing things trying to wind down...but not quite! We are keeping a close eye on two systems that could get stronger. One system is in the central Caribbean and only has a low 10% chance to become a tropical depression or storm. It is moving west and will continue to be monitored for further development. Another system SE of Bermuda has a medium chance to become our next tropical system over the next 7 days as it pushes SE. The next name would be Vince. Hurricane season ends November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 19, 2023
A small area of low pressure just off the North coast of South America is being watch for tropical cyclone formation. This spot in the Caribbean will struggle to develop as it drifts slowly westward.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 18, 2023
Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Two is no more, as far as advisories from the National Hurricane Center. This storm system is still bringing heavy rain across Hispaniola this weekend and could create flash flooding and mudslides.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 17, 2023
Potential Tropical Cyclone 22 is moving over Jamaica bringing heavy rain and a threat for flooding. Tropical Storm watches continue for parts of Cuba, Haiti, and the SE Bahamas. There's a lower 30% chance that this system could turn into Tropical Storm Vince over the next few days. Flooding and strong gusty winds will be the main threat. It should get close to Bermuda by Sunday as it is losing tropical characteristics. This is the only active system for now and hurricane season runs through November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 16, 2023
Hurricane season will be coming to an end soon. But we are still watching a few areas of development. Area of low pressure near Miami now is down to a near 0% chance for tropical cyclone development. But it will still bring some heavy rain to parts of Florida and the Bahamas. Area of low pressure in the west-central Caribbean now has a high chance to become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Vince over the next few days. Potential Tropical Cyclone 22 is expected to bring heavy rain and the threat for flooding to Jamaica, eastern Cuba and Haiti where Tropical Storm watches are in effect.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 15, 2023
We are about two weeks away from the end of the 2023 hurricane season. Tropics are heating up with two possible systems to watch. First is in the SW Caribbean with a medium chance to become a tropical depression or possibly Tropical Storm Vince over the next few days. It could bring some rain to Jamaica, Haiti, Cuba and the Dominican Republic which could increase the flood threat there. A new area of low pressure is expected to form just off the SE Florida coast but will only have a 10% chance of survival into a tropical cyclone.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 14, 2023
A late season tropical storm is not out the question with a disturbance still being monitored in the SW Caribbean for tropical development. This broad area of low pressure is expected to track NE and may develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days. Chance over the next few days is low but the chance for a tropical system to develop over the next 7 days is high, around 70%. I don't expect this system to head into the Gulf of Mexico but it will track towards Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti & the Dominican Republic. The rest of the tropics remain quiet for now. Hurricane season ends on November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 13, 2023
With just a few weeks left in the 2023 hurricane season, we may have a late-season surprise in the Caribbean! Broad area of low pressure is expected to develop over the next day or two in the SW Caribbean and track NE towards the central Caribbean and eventually Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic. If this system becomes a tropical storm, it would be named Vince. Right now it appears that it will not move towards SE Texas. The rest of the tropics remain quiet.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 10, 2023
With just about 3 weeks left in our 2023 hurricane season, things have been very quiet this week. In fact, no tropical cyclone activity is expected in the Atlantic Basin over the next 2 days. However, the SW Caribbean is being monitored for a possible late-season tropical cyclone development by the middle of next week. There is a 30% chance of this disturbance developing into a tropical depression or storm next week. The next name on the list would be "Vince". We'll keep a close eye on this system for next week when we could have an area of low pressure forming in the western Caribbean.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 9, 2023
Tropics remain very quiet across the Atlantic Basin and in the eastern Pacific. We remain at 20 named storms for the season, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes for the Atlantic Basin with two remaining names on the list. They are Vince and Whitney. Chance for future tropical development is getting lower with water temperatures getting a bit cooler. But we will continue to monitor through the end of hurricane season which runs through November 30th.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 8, 2023
With about three weeks remaining in the 2023 hurricane season, the Atlantic, Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and eastern Pacific remain very quiet. No tropical cyclone activity is expected over the next 7 days. Chances are getting lower day by day of any additional tropical activity. But we will continue to closely monitor through the end of hurricane season which runs through the end of November.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 7, 2023
There's more good news today concerning the tropics. No tropical cyclones are anticipated across the Atlantic Basin or central/eastern Pacific for the rest of this week! That means the tropics are quiet for now. But hurricane season is still officially here until the end of November. But as expected towards the end of the season, things are finally calming down! Let's hope it stays that way for a few more weeks!
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 6, 2023
As we go into our last three weeks of the 2023 hurricane season, things have finally calmed down! At this time, there's no tropical activity in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean or Eastern Pacific. No tropical cyclone formation is expected in the next 7 days. Water temperatures are starting to get cooler in parts of the Gulf of Mexico which signals that the end is getting closer! Hurricane season ends on November 30th! So far, we've had 20 names storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 5, 2023
In the Eastern Pacific Pilar remains a tropical storm but not for long. In the western Caribbean, a large area of disorganized showers and storms brings heavy rain to parts of Central America.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 4, 2023
FOX 26 Chief Meteorologist Mike Iscovitz shares a tropical weather update for November 4, 2023.
Tropical Weather Forecast - November 3, 2023
There are still a few systems to track in this last month of hurricane season. Invest 97-L in the western Caribbean remains disorganized and time is running out for it to become a Tropical system before it reaches Central America tonight or Saturday. At this point, development into a tropical depression or storm is unlikely. But some heavy rain for portions of Central America remains possible the next few days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Pilar continues to race away from Central America & Mexico as it moves W. Things are still quiet in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico.
Tropical Weather Update - November 2, 2023
We are into the last month of hurricane season with a few systems that could cause problems. Invest 97-L in the central Caribbean is now down to only a 20% chance of development over the next few days. It continues to track west towards Central America and should reach the eastern coast of Central America by late Friday or Saturday. Even if it does not become a tropical depression or storm, it will still bring the threat of heavy rain to parts of Jamaica and Central America. Tropical Storm Pilar is still moving away from the west coast of El Salvador as impacts subside.