Hurricanes

Patty has formed in the Atlantic but it's not what you were expecting. The Southwestern Caribbean is still brewing with a broad area of low pressure. The National Hurricane Center has labeled it as Invest 97L but no name yet.

Three areas are currently being monitored in the Atlantic basin for possible tropical cyclone development. The first in the North Atlantic, Invest 96-L, is a low that has a MEDIUM 40% chance for tropical or subtropical development over the next few days as it nears the Azores. Two other disturbances are being monitored, one in the SW Caribbean and one in the NE Caribbean. SW Caribbean system now has a HIGH 70% chance to become a tropical depression or storm in the next week. The next few names on the list would be Patty and Rafael. It's forecast to track into the central Caribbean and could even make it to the southern Gulf next week. In the NE Caribbean, a trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico has a LOW 10% chance for tropical development as it drifts WNW. Neither of these systems is expected to make it to Texas.

FOX 26 Meteorologist Remeisha Shade has the latest on what's happening in the tropics.

FOX 26 Meteorologist Remeisha Shade has the latest on what's happening in the tropics.

There are currently no named storms across the Atlantic Basin. However, tropical development is still possible as we approach the last month of hurricane season. A disturbance is being monitored in the SW Caribbean. Chance for a tropical system to form in the next 48 hours is 0%. But there's a MEDIUM 40% chance a tropical system could develop in the Caribbean over the next seven days. It will likely track from the SW to the central Caribbean and would be named Patty if it becomes a tropical storm. It is not expected to head towards Texas but could bring heavy rain and a flood threat to Hispianiola, Jamaica and possibly Florida. Hurricane season runs through November 30.

We are a few days away from the final month of the 2024 hurricane season. Chances of a hurricane hitting Houston this late in the season are extremely low. However, there's still a chance for tropical development this week in the Caribbean. Models are giving a disturbance in the SW Caribbean a Medium 40% chance of tropical development over the next 7 days. So we could have tropical storm or hurricane Patty by this weekend in the central Caribbean. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains super quiet for now and hurricane season runs through November 30th.

In this Hurricane Gear Test, FOX 26 Meteorologist John Dawson shows us an alternative to the traditional sandbag.

Kristy is no longer a tropical system in the Eastern Pacific. In the Atlantic, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. This will probably become the next named storm and drift northward or northeastward over the southwestern and south-central Caribbean Sea.

Kristy has started to weaken in the Eastern Pacific. This persistent system mostly likely will not make it through the weekend. The Atlantic basin is quiet for now but something developing in the Caribbean should still be watched for next week.

In the Eastern Pacific, we are still tracking Hurricane Kristy. The good news is that Kristy is moving WNW away from the United States and Mexico and should remain over water. Also, Kristy is expected to run into more wind shear and this will allow Kristy to become a post-tropical system by Sunday. In the Atlantic basin, no tropical systems are expected to form through the weekend. However, models are indicating a tropical system could form in the SW Caribbean by the middle of next week where water temperatures are still super warm. This likely would NOT head to Texas but could bring some heavy rain and flood potential to some of the Caribbean Islands and Florida. Hurricane season runs through November 30.

The Atlantic basin remains quiet for now with no tropical cyclones expected to form over the next few days. However, models are indicating that there could be some tropical development in the western or Central Caribbean mid-late next week. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Kristy is still a powerful Major hurricane tracking away from Mexico and the U.S. Kristy should run into more wind shear, cooler & drier air by this weekend & early next week. This will cause the system to lose tropical characteristics and weaken.

Oscar is no longer a tropical system but is still bringing some heavy rain to Bermuda. Remnants of Oscar should push north of Bermuda Thursday and no additional tropical systems are expected in the Atlantic basin over the next 7 days. However, models are hinting that there could be some potential development in the western Caribbean about 10 days out. That would be around early November, so keep checking back for updates! Kristy has blown up to a small but powerful major hurricane in the eastern Pacific but is moving away from land.

It was a busy weekend in the tropics with Tropical Storm Nadine popping up in the NW Caribbean & quickly making landfall in Belize. The remnants of Nadine pushed into the eastern Pacific reorganizing into what is now Tropical Storm Kristy. Kristy is forecast to become a Category 2 hurricane later this week but will be moving west away from Mexico and the U.S. Oscar also formed in the Atlantic and quickly grew to a hurricane hitting parts of Cuba. Oscar has weakened to a tropical storm today over eastern Cuba and is expected to make a turn N then NE taking it towards the SE Bahamas. It will then move NE away from the U.S. the next few days before being absorbed by a non-tropical low later this week. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.

An emergency can happen any time, so you might be thinking about getting a generator. Meteorologist John Dawson talks about what to consider before making that big purchase and takes a look at the Champion Tri Fuel Inverter Generator.

Hurricane Oscar is heading toward Cuba. FOX 26 meteorologist John Dawson takes a look at the storm's track and what is left of what was once Tropical Storm Nadine.

FOX 26 meteorologist John Dawson gives an update on Tropical Storm Nadine, which is bringing flooding to the Western Caribbean, and Hurricane Oscar which is impacting Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas before heading to Cuba.

We are still monitoring two disturbances in the Atlantic basin. Invest 95-L in the western Caribbean is now Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 with a HIGH 70% chance to become a brief tropical depression or tropical storm Nadine. PTC 15 is already very close to land & should move inland over Belize in Central America and Southern Mexico this weekend. Invest 94-L is just north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands with just a Low 20% shot to become a tropical system over the next 2-7 days. By early next week, upper level winds will become unfavorable for tropical development. This disturbance will likely dissipate at that time. Hurricane season runs through November 30th.