These states could be more red or blue in 2024 because of population shifts: study

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Americans’ migration trends could spell political changes in both red and blue states, and those changes could be seen in the upcoming 2024 presidential election, a new Realtor.com report found.

The online real estate listing site used data on geographical home shopping trends along with 2020 presidential election county-level results to assess how population moves among voters could potentially cause shifts, either red for Republicans or blue for Democrats, in different states this election cycle.

FILE - For Sale sign by owner sign hangs in front of a house in Mastic, New York, on January 14, 2018. New York is one of several traditionally blue states that could turn redder politically this year because of population shifts. (Photo by Steve Pfo

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"As more individuals relocate between states, their political preferences could significantly influence election outcomes, especially in swing states where even minor shifts can be decisive," Realtor.com economist Jiayi Xu told FOX Business.

"This trend illustrates the connection between migration and political preferences, as each new resident brings unique perspectives that can reshape the electoral landscape," Xu said. "Understanding these dynamics is crucial as we approach the upcoming election, revealing new narratives in American politics."

How population shifts could change the political map

Hover over the map above to see how states could shift politically because of migration trends.

Which blue states could turn bluer?

According to realtor.com, the following traditionally blue states could become even more blue this election cycle because of moving trends:

Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Maine

Which red states could turn redder?

Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Missouri
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Wyoming

Which blue states could trend redder?

California
Colorado
Illinois
Minnesota
New York
Oregon
Washington

Which red states could shift bluer?

Alaska
Florida
Ohio

Which swing states could trend redder?

Arizona is one of the 2024 swing states

LiveNOW's Andrew Craft spoke with Stan Barnes from Copper State Consulting Group in September about how Arizona could decide the presidential election and play a big role in the balance of power in Congress.