Possible railway worker strike could mean more shortages, higher inflation

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Looming railway worker strike could mean more food shortages

FOX 26 Consumer Reporter Heather Sullivan shows how the strike during the height of inflation is already leaving some train passengers stranded.

A looming railway worker strike could mean more shortages of food and goods, and even higher inflation, and is already leaving some train passengers stranded.

PREVIOUS: Massive rail strike could mean more supply chain issues

The International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers agreed to postpone a possible strike from this Friday until September 29th.  But they rejected a contract offering a 24% pay raise because it did not resolve scheduling issues.

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Many of the country’s freight trains could be halted, along with the food and goods they carry, if tens of thousands of railway workers go on strike.

"We’re talking about a huge piece of the supply chain linkage if there is a rail strike. It would be disruptive by billions of dollars a day," said David Gantz, the Baker Institute's Will Clayton Fellow in Trade and International Economics at Rice University.

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"It would affect a lot of things, produce, food, everything we import, everything we export," said Nick Klein, Vice President of Sales and Marketing at freight and logistics company OES Group.

The August inflation rate was still high, at 8.3%, sending Wall Street plummeting Tuesday. A strike could make inflation and food and consumer goods shortages even worse.

"We’ve all been warned already," said Gantz. "Do your Christmas shopping early this year because you don’t know what kind of disruption you’re going to have in November and December."

MORE: More people using online grocery shopping to save money amid inflation

Congress could pass a bill to enact a new contract and keep the rails running.  And the White House says it is asking ships and truckers to keep goods moving if railworkers walk off the job.

However, Klein points out, "It would take 460,000 trucks to replace the railroads. And we’re already short 80,000 drivers in this country."

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Fed chairman says inflation will remain high

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is offering little hope that interest rates will fall anytime soon.

Klein adds, "We also have to remember the longshoreman are operating without a contract along the whole west coast."

Meanwhile, Amtrack passenger trains, which travel on 21,000 miles of tracks owned by freight train companies, have already suspended some routes, including parts of the Texas Eagle route between Los Angeles and San Antonio.  

MORE SULLIVAN'S SMART SENSE

Consumers need to prepare for more economic pain.  In another effort to curb inflation, the Fed is expected to raise interest rates again on September 21, which will mean higher interest on credit cards and loans.